Warrior General Games

Using the Excel sheet, not making any personal predictions in this thread. I'm only going to count the first 15 games since the predictor is terrible for the last game.

The west is pretty screwed up due to the blowouts of the gutted teams. I'm going to make the maximum margin of victory 50 to see what happens to the predictor too. Teams that have played gutted teams have hugely overrated score margins. For example, SNK is supposed to beat Minnesota 45-0. Since SNK has only allowed 3 points all season, it thinks their defense is unstoppable. They are good, but its only predicting they give up 14 points the rest of the season.

West:

SNK 15-0
Colorado 13-2
EZ 12-3
Minnesota 11-4
San Francisco 11-4
Laurier 11-4
Fresno 10-5
Lauderdale 8-7
LilWeezyAna 7-8
Tulsa 6-9
Goshen 5-10
Tijuana 5-10
Eugene 3-12
New Jersey 2-13
Thompson Hunters 1-14
Golden State 0-15

East:
Indianapolis 14-1
Milwaukee 14-1
Naperville 13-2
New Orleans 12-3
Columbus 12-3
New York Launch 9-6
Sin City 9-6
Maine 8-7
Martha's Vineyard 7-8
Red River 7-8
St. Louis 5-10
Cleveland 4-11
New York Mustangs 3-12
Dutch Harbor 2-13
Pittsburgh 1-14
Detroit 0-15

I'm going to use a 35 point cap in the predictor. If you are up by 35 or more, you only get credit for a 35 point victory. It still will be biased against teams who have played gutted teams since it will overrate their defense.

Here are my personal predictions for Week 16 (There are a lot of really good games scheduled that week too. I don't know how we lucked out and get Golden State when the other top teams play someone very hard.).

New York Launch > Minnesota
New Orleans > LilWeezyAna
Indianapolis > Tijuana
Cleveland > New Jersey
Naperville > SNK
EZ > Milwaukee
Colorado > Red River
San Francisco > Martha's Vineyard
Columbus > Golden State
Fresno > Sin City
St. Louis > Thompson
New York Mustangs > Eugene
Lauderdale > Pittsburgh
Goshen > Detroit
Laurier > Dark Harbor
Maine > Tulsa

East 9-7 over West overall. A lot of these games are close.

Laurier's are really screwed up. It's predicting a 147-60 win over EZ for some reason. It has a lot of their games as huge blowouts that shouldn't be.

Using my predictions and the 35 point cap, we have the following predictions:

West:
1. SNK 15-1 **
2. Colorado 14-2 **
3. EZ 13-3
4. San Francisco 13-3 **
5. Laurier 12-4
6. Fresno 11-5 **
7. Lauderdale 10-6 *
8. Minnesota 9-7 *
9. LilWeezyAna 7-9
10. Goshen 6-10
11. Tulsa 6-10 *
12. Tijuana 5-11 *
13. Eugene 3-13
14. New Jersey 2-14
15. Thompson 1-15
16. Golden State 0-16

*Played 1 gutted/blown out team
**Played 2 gutted/blown out teams
***Played 3 gutted/blown out teams
(Gutted teams are Eugene, Thompson, Golden State, and New Jersey)

East:
1. Indianapolis 15-1
2. Milwaukee 14-2
3. Naperville 14-2
4. New Orleans 13-3
5. Columbus 13-3
6. New York Launch 10-6
7. Sin City Sublime 9-7
8. Maine 9-7
9. Martha's Vineyard 7-9
10. Red River 7-9
11. St. Louis 6-10
12. Cleveland 5-11
13. New York Mustangs 4-12
14. Dutch Harbor 2-14
15. Pittsburgh 1-15
16. Detroit 0-16

*Due to only 3 weeks worth of scores, the accuracy of this predictor is not very good!

lol, if EZ loses 3 games I'll eat my shorts!

wow comon i know we ain't gonna lose more than 5 games this season 7-9 is the worst prediction ever not that its your fault but were better than lauderdale Laurier,and maybe san fran too that will be a good game for us

I have no idea why it overrates Laurier so much. The source code on it is locked, and I've noticed a few obvious bugs in it before. I have no idea what's going on.

SNK vs. EZ looks to be a real good game, though.

Any other highly anticipated games?

I know for us, the Indy match is huge. Also, Milwaukee game is a big one for us.

It would be cool if Martha's and us both were 14-0 going into that game

lol...

I'm not sure we're 14-2 good, but I think we'll make the playoffs this season.

Our two losses must be against SNK and EZ.

Originally posted by stahu miguel
lol...

I'm not sure we're 14-2 good, but I think we'll make the playoffs this season.

Our two losses must be against SNK and EZ.

are you conceding now, lol?

As long as your payment is in the mail I am...

"It would be cool if Martha's and us both were 14-0 going into that game."

It would be an act of God if that happened. I don't see us being 14-0 but man I would LOVE it if we were. The Mustangs 14-2? WOW! I have watched that team grow big time. Stahu Miguel, you should be commended big time for how quickly your team has improved. I remember when we were the scumsuckers of the league. Who's laughing now? Good things come to those who wait.

Goshen is looking alot better lately. They have rebuilt pretty fast.

I seriously doubt the Mob is going 0-16. I think we may go 2-2 the next 4 games

Originally posted by finnmaccoul
I seriously doubt the Mob is going 0-16. I think we may go 2-2 the next 4 games

Unless you learn from your mistakes, its very possible. You better hope your future opponents don't watch the replay of your games- we wrote the book on how to exploit your defense.

I'm fine with those projections and if it plays out that way then I'll be very fine

After Week 4:

West:

1. Fresno (16-0)
2. Colorado (15-1)
3. SNK (13-3)
4. EZ (13-3)
5. Minnesota (11-5)
6. LilWeezyAna (9-7)
7. Lauderdale (9-7)
8. San Fransisco (9-7)
9. Eugene (9-7) *** This week's messed up prediction
10. Tulsa (6-10)
11. Goshen (6-10)
12. Tijuana (4-12)
13. Laurier (4-12)
14. New Jersey (2-14)
15. Golden State (1-15)
16. Thompson (0-16)

East:
1. New Orleans (15-1)
2. Milwaukee (14-2)
3. Columbus (14-2)
4. Naperville (13-3)
5. Indy (11-5)
6. New York Launch (10-6)
7. Sin City (10-6)
8. Maine (9-7)
9. Martha's Vineyard (7-9)
10. Red River (7-9)
11. New York Mustangs (6-10)
12. St. Louis (5-11)
13. Cleveland (4-12)
14. Dutch Harbor (2-14)
15. Pittsburgh (1-15)
16. Detroit (0-16)