Warrior General Games

Alpha

Georgia vs Washington
-This game could cause a lot of messes for Alpha, right now Georgia is out of the playoff picture at 11th, but it is mathematically possible I believe for Georgia to end up at #8 where Washington sits now. There are 4 teams in Alpha fighting to play Dubrovnik in the first round (not a thing Id love to fight to have the opportunity to do). This game matters also, because Kazan will undoubtedly blow out Budapest BD's, and in the event of a tie over more than two teams, points DO come into play. If Washington wins, then they are in the playoffs, as they won the head to head with Minsk, that is a much more simple scenario.

Sheboygan vs Sarajevo
-Clearly a big game either of the last 2 seasons. Right now Sheboygan has a hold on 2nd, if they can beat Sarajevo, they stay away from Dubrovnik until the Conf CCG if they make it that far. Sarajevo can ruin the party by beating Sheboygan and then it causes a 3 way tie for 2nd. In that case, each of the teams would have beat one of the teams and lost to one of the teams, so it would come down to points, which is why Barger Hill ran up the score last week, in order to get 2nd if Sheboygan loses. If Sheboygan loses and undoubtedly Barger Hill runs up the score on Bison .. it could end up Barger Hill (they are still down 47, so they have to score 48 more than Sarajevo scores), Sarajevo, Sheboygan.

St. Petersburg vs Minsk
-Minsk needs a win here and help from Georgia to make the playoffs. If Minsk wins and Washington loses, Minsk jumps from 9 to 7, missing the first round fun with Dubrovnik. If Minsk loses, it doesnt matter and if Georgia doesnt win, it doesnt matter, Minsk is out. St. Petersburg is in no matter what, they beat Washington so even if Washington wins, they keep 7th.

Zeta

Helsinki vs Budapest
-This is of course my personal most important game of the week besides my own. Right now there is a 3 way tie for 2nd in Zeta, if Budapest wins and assuming that Prague and Stalingrad wins, then nothing changes. If Helsinki wins, Budapest drops to 5th, Prague moves up to 2nd. It honestly doesnt matter to me that much because they will have to play each other in the first round of the playoffs, unless SGA loses to Novosibirsk and Budapest wins, then actually Budapest would become #2, dropping SGA to 4th (that is assuming Prague wins, which it is possible that all of 2-4 could lose today and it would cause a 4 way tie at 2nd).

(One giant bracket)
Rome vs Moscow
Rockford vs Belgrade
Novosibirsk vs Stalingrad
Sooner vs Cincinnati

-Lets assume first that Cincinnati beats the Sooners .. which is to be expected, that moves Cincinnati to 7-8, that game is taken care of. If Rome wins, they stay put, even if Dubai loses, because then the two teams would be tied and Dubai has the tiebreaker. If Moscow wins that moves them to 7-8, which would be a tie with Rome, Cincinnati and possibly Novosibirsk (no slight to SGA, but Novosibirsk is playing really well since they got a new owner). That would give Novosibirsk 2 wins over the 4 group, Cincinnati would have 2 wins in the group, Rome would have 1 win in the group, Moscow would have 1 win in the group. That means that Cincinnati and Novosibirsk (if they win) would get the 7th and 8th spots. If Novosibirsk doesnt win and Moscow wins its a 3 way tie at 7/8, with each team having 1 win over another of the 2 teams. Since Rome has the most points in the 3 way tie, Rome would be #7 and Cincinnati #8, just like now. The last possibility is that Novosibirsk somehow wins, Moscow loses and there is a two way tie at #8 between Cincinnati and Novosibirsk, since Novosibirsk lost to Cincinnati, the Tigers have the honor of playing Belgrade in the first round. I am assuming that Rockford loses to Belgrade in all of these scenarios because well .. Belgrade is pretty darn tough, if Rockford wins, there are even more scenarios, but I believe I have written enough and played the percentages.

Oooookay!

Nice write up!

BTW Id personally love this scenario.

Novosibirsk wins, Helsinki wins, Moscow wins

Why would I love that you ask? No I dont hate SGA, Budapest or Rome, its actually because I like someone else much more.

You see then Prague would be the #2 seed and our friends Cincinnati would be the #7 seed and I love those guys so much, we have had to play in the playoffs the last 2 seasons and Id love to make it a 3rd, I know how much they want to play us and it would be a lovely tradition to play them again.

Originally posted by
Georgia vs Washington
-This game could cause a lot of messes for Alpha, right now Georgia is out of the playoff picture at 11th, but it is mathematically possible I believe for Georgia to end up at #8 where Washington sits now. There are 4 teams in Alpha fighting to play Dubrovnik in the first round (not a thing Id love to fight to have the opportunity to do). This game matters also, because Kazan will undoubtedly blow out Budapest BD's, and in the event of a tie over more than two teams, points DO come into play. If Washington wins, then they are in the playoffs, as they won the head to head with Minsk, that is a much more simple scenario.


It's really a pretty simple scenario for Georgia to make the playoffs. All we need to do is win our last two games (vs. Washington and Moscow), and have Minsk lose their last two (vs. St. Petersburg and Dubai). Then, it would be a two-way tie for 8th between us and Washington and we'd have the H2H tiebreak. There's one more assumption built into that, but it involves Stalingrad winning their inter-conference game and I'm not too worried about it.

I feel pretty confident that Dubai will beat Minsk so that means we really only need help for one game, and St. Petersburg has looked a little better than Minsk lately. Really, I like our chances against Washington too. The game I'm most worried about is our season finale vs. Moscow. If we miss the playoffs, that game will likely be the reason why.

(I know, I'm getting way way ahead of myself here. Just need to beat Washington for now.)

Sorry to ruin your predictions Randy. Looks like Budapest wanted to make things interesting for the final game.


BTW, great game from Helsinki. Very very tough opponent.

Jiddy Fructose will miss the home cookin'....Well done Budapest.

Good game Reapers!

I didnt say they were predictions I said that it would be my ideal outcome

Besides, yall could still get to #3 because I believe that if we lose to Dubrovnik, then we will go down. I assume that both you and SGA will win.

I felt our game was a little too close for comfort But 25-26 phew that must have been intense watching

Well, we did beat Washington, but unfortunately Minsk ruined our playoff hopes by beating St. Petersburg. Tough break, we just didn't win as many games as we needed to earlier in the season.

As for the Alpha playoff picture, if Minsk can knock off Dubai now, they're definitely in, but without that I don't think either they or St. Petersburg have clinched yet.

If Georgia wins next week, then it's a 4-way tie and both Minsk and St. Petersburg would be 2-1 in the H2H and would therefore get the playoff spots. Meanwhile, if Georgia loses, it's a 3-way tie between Washington, Minsk, and St. Petersburg where all teams involved are 1-1 in the H2H. That means it would come down to total points.

According to the projections from the spreadsheet, St. Petersburg has the lead there, so if they get in, then Washington would have the H2H with Minsk and get the 8 spot. If somehow, Washington manages to run the score up like crazy against Sooner Syndicate and take over the points lead, then they'd finish 7th and Minsk would take the 8 spot.

Great game Helsinki... lets do it again in the Playoffs...

I want the rematch with SGA.

So we're in no matter what? So confused...

went back and read more thoroughly my bad..

Originally posted by gamorris93
Good game Reapers!


For sure, those 2 long passing play killed us..