Warrior General Games

After a not quite as good result last week here is what the projections have to say for the upcoming games:

ALPHA
Lumberjacks over Sharks: 70-17
Who Dats over Monarchs: 26-14
Blitzkrieg over Wrecking Crew: 27-12 (still got the glitch in there, other projection is 18-12)
Vikings over Nighthawks: 32-10
Mercenaries over Dauphins: 37-14
Aggies over Warriors: 19-15
Dragons over Knights: 39-6
Mountain Lions over Molosses: 11-4

ZETA
Stampede over Scorgasms: 33-3
Aggies over Barracudas: 86-2
Billy Goats over Eagles: 42-10
HEAT over Roughnecks: 26-16 (glitch here as well, other projection 26-24)
Trolls over TIGERS: 196-0
Destroyers over Musketeers: 20-11
Berserkers over AllStars: 48-7
Policemen over Frogs: 62-5

I think those tips are scarily accurate, except for the margins.

In Alpha, I'd pick AWC over Berlin, and Wembly over FTA... but both of those should be very close and could go either way. Don't really pay attention to Zeta (everyone knows Alpha > Zeta, right? ). Otherwise probably about right.

AlFOOL < GREATa

How many times will we have to prove those automated picks wrong..

Gonna have to disagree with Brock here - I think Berlin can hand AWC their papers. Also, FTA will need to dramatically change their offensive strategy to beat the Warriors. Warriors beat us in a close game, and we crushed FTA. FTA and the Vikings play VERY similar football.

Originally posted by larkis
I think those tips are scarily accurate, except for the margins.

It's a numbers game with far more constants than variables. One of GLB's failings is an insufficient amount of game-to-game variance in performance. In my observation/experience, nobody has a "bad day" unless that bad day is causally linked to the opposition - meaning you'll see QBs play like crap, but that's primarily due to what the defense does.

I generally know within a shockingly small margin what my team's QB will do in any given game - it would be far more realistic if he had an unexpected bad game once in a while or an unexpectedly good game.

The net result of this (unrealistic) lack of variance is a corresponding lack of variance in W/L results relative to team/league talent level. FAR too many teams in GLB are able to go 15-1 or 16-0 even in relatively balanced leagues simply because they have a small, but consistent edge over every other team.

Last season, when Berlin was in AAA, we would have an average level of 17, the opponent would have an average level of 17, and I would be 100% certain we would beat them, I would be 90% certain it would be around 40-0 and I could pretty much tell you what each of our offensive players would do. That sort of thing seriously detracts from the long-term value of this game imo.

Originally posted by helluin
Gonna have to disagree with Brock here - I think Berlin can hand AWC their papers. Also, FTA will need to dramatically change their offensive strategy to beat the Warriors. Warriors beat us in a close game, and we crushed FTA. FTA and the Vikings play VERY similar football.

Well helluin, we beat you and the Warriors in close games and FTA handed us our papers, so those circle conclusions are just not good for anything

Just a quick look over the FTA game you had tells me either the AI screwed up your strat, or you used different strategy than you used against the Vikings. =p

I think boosting had a bigger impact at the beginning of the season then we would like to think (vikings). The next 7 games will tell us exactly where our team and everybody elses is.

Originally posted by IrishHand
It's a numbers game with far more constants than variables. One of GLB's failings is an insufficient amount of game-to-game variance in performance. In my observation/experience, nobody has a "bad day" unless that bad day is causally linked to the opposition - meaning you'll see QBs play like crap, but that's primarily due to what the defense does.

I generally know within a shockingly small margin what my team's QB will do in any given game - it would be far more realistic if he had an unexpected bad game once in a while or an unexpectedly good game.

The net result of this (unrealistic) lack of variance is a corresponding lack of variance in W/L results relative to team/league talent level. FAR too many teams in GLB are able to go 15-1 or 16-0 even in relatively balanced leagues simply because they have a small, but consistent edge over every other team.

Last season, when Berlin was in AAA, we would have an average level of 17, the opponent would have an average level of 17, and I would be 100% certain we would beat them, I would be 90% certain it would be around 40-0 and I could pretty much tell you what each of our offensive players would do. That sort of thing seriously detracts from the long-term value of this game imo.


I think there are definite patterns. The game is out to get us in Stuttgart this year. We have been drawing the "suck" card at the start of every game.

Originally posted by helluin
Gonna have to disagree with Brock here - I think Berlin can hand AWC their papers. Also, FTA will need to dramatically change their offensive strategy to beat the Warriors. Warriors beat us in a close game, and we crushed FTA. FTA and the Vikings play VERY similar football.

Valhalla are a good team, so this is not to say that they wouldn't have beat FTA anyway. But... that two-game stretch where we stunk it up was due in part to several key people being unable to participate, particularly the owner (who just recently returned from Iraq) and the offensive coordinator (in other words, nobody could do anything with the offensive game plan). I'd also point out that FTA's three losses are to teams that are 8-1, 8-1, and 7-2.

Still believe that Wembley is in a prime position to bite us on the ass, though. Scariest game left on the schedule, in that I can't be reasonably sure how it'll turn out.

Had a bad feeling about it, right from the kickoff.

Originally posted by Zickzack
After a not quite as good result last week here is what the projections have to say for the upcoming games:

ALPHA
Lumberjacks over Sharks: 70-17
Who Dats over Monarchs: 26-14
Blitzkrieg over Wrecking Crew: 27-12 (still got the glitch in there, other projection is 18-12)
Vikings over Nighthawks: 32-10
Mercenaries over Dauphins: 37-14
Aggies over Warriors: 19-15
Dragons over Knights: 39-6
Mountain Lions over Molosses: 11-4

ZETA
Stampede over Scorgasms: 33-3
Aggies over Barracudas: 86-2
Billy Goats over Eagles: 42-10
HEAT over Roughnecks: 26-16 (glitch here as well, other projection 26-24)
Trolls over TIGERS: 196-0
Destroyers over Musketeers: 20-11
Berserkers over AllStars: 48-7
Policemen over Frogs: 62-5


Aberdeen Wrecking Crew vs. Berlin Blitzkrieg 0-20 Alpha Conference
Stuttgart Nighthawks vs. Valhalla Vikings 7-18 Alpha Conference
Fightin' Texas Aggies vs. Wembley Warriors 35-42 Alpha Conference
Glastonbury Knights vs. Copenhagen Dragons 3-45 Alpha Conference
London Monarchs vs. Lake Charles Who Dats 25-7 Alpha Conference
Paris - Asnieres Molosses vs. Blackpool Mountain Lions 3-16 Alpha Conference
Woodridge Lumberjacks vs. Lyon Sharks 72-10 Alpha Conference
Nice Dauphins vs. E-City Mercenaries 30-21 Alpha Conference
DFools AllStars vs. Oslo Berserkers 20-25 Zeta Conference
Sandford, Gloucestershire Policeman Officers vs. Helsinki Horned Frogs 33-22 Zeta Conference
Paris Musketeers vs. Korb Destroyers 9-36 Zeta Conference
Oxford Eagles vs. Valencia Billy Goats 10-22 Zeta Conference
Rotterdam Roughnecks vs. Frankfurt HEAT 23-29 Zeta Conference
MA Trolls vs. SOUTH TEXAS TIGERS 113-0 Zeta Conference
Bari Barracudas vs. Reykjavík Aggies 0-48 Zeta Conference
Multiple Scorgasms vs. Rohrheim Stampede 13-32 Zeta Conference

"Who Dats over Monarchs: 26-14"

London Monarchs vs. Lake Charles Who Dats 25-7