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Forum > North American Pro League > USA Conference > Cryptotich's Western Conference Predictions: Week 5
Cryptotich
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Week 5: Clash of the Titans! 1 plays 4, 2 plays 3..... There will be Blood!

I usually don't put these out this early, but there were some significant games, and I want to keep them fresh in my mind. That and I am not sure how much time I am going to have tomorrow for write up's I am going to have to spend a lot of time game planning for SOUTH GEORGIA if I want a chance to sneak a win out of the game. Our DC is on vacation till week 7 and i have been filling in.

The top 3 spots are not changing, as they both performed as expected. Richmond and Bratislava stay at # 4 and #5 respectively even with the loss's 6 - 11 are all kinds of screwed up based on their efforts this week. I can't keep Richmond at #5 based on their disaster of a game at 8 Mile. WAR MACHINE lost, The Beasts Lost, and SOUTH GEORGIA lost. KKAR won, but it was against the Gains... So who to pick for #6? I am going with SOUTH GEORGIA. KKAR stays at #7. Now things get even crazier. 8 Mile won a convincing game against Baton Rouge, so they move up to #8. New Orleans bounces back with a win against the Beasts, and the Beasts drop to #10. Ontario moves up to #11, and Corpus Christi moves up to #12. War machine drops all the way to #13, and the Blitz drops to #14. #15 and #16 remain unchanged.

1. Austin Wineswilling Fancy Boys
2. Honolulu Hurricane Wife Carriers
3. New Jersey Battalion
4. Richmond Rebel Yell
5. Bratislava Lambeau Leapers
6. SOUTH GEORGIA GROWL
7. Ketchikan Kamper Adventure Rentals
8. 8 Mile Assault
9. New Orleans Hoodoo Voodoo
10. Chicago Beasts
11. Ontario Ice Weasels
12. Corpus Christi Illegal Aliens
13. WAR MACHINE
14. Chicago Blitz
15. Baton Rouge Buccaneers
16. Gaines Panthers


Now down to game predictions. I will order the games based on my rankings.

Game 1: Austin Wineswilling Fancy Boys VS Richmond Rebel Yell.
Austin would much rather be playing Richmond later in the season when their Team Chemistry is higher. But the schedule is what it is. Both teams are playing well, and its going to be one hell of a game. Both teams will have their game faces on, and I expect a really close score. I think Austin has the defense to hold off the charge of the Rebels though.

Game prediction: 24 - 21 Austin.

Game 2: Honolulu Hurricane Wife Carriers VS New Jersey Battalion
Let more blood flow! New Jersey squeeked by Richmond last week, but I expected that, just like I expect Honolulu to squeek by New Jersey this week. This game does have upset potential, but I am going with the favorites.

Game Prediction: 38 - 34 Honolulu Hurricane Wife Carriers.

Game 3: Bratislava Lambeau Leapers VS Chicago Beasts
Bratislava needs a rebound game after a tough 2 game stretch. They'll get it when they face the Chicago Beasts. The Beasts are no pushovers though, but are struggling with Team Chemistry issues, and will loose a game they might have been in if it were played later in the season.

Game prediction: 34 - 17 Bratislava.

Game 4: SOUTH GEORGIA GROWL VS 8 Mile Assault
2 Addict teams go Head to Head. SOUTH GEORGIA has had a brutal schedule for their first 4 games, which explains their 0-4 record. 8 Mile's schedule wasn't much easier, but they did get an easy game last week putting them at 1-3. SOUTH GEORGIA has more Addicts than 8 Mile though, and a better Team Chemistry. 8 Mile's defense is going to be the key to this game. If they can keep it close 8 Mile has a chance for an upset. Still, at this time of the season, I think SOUTH GEORGIA is the stronger team, and will pull of a 2 TD victory.

Game prediction: 28 - 14 SOUTH GEORGIA

Game 5: Ketchikan Kamper Adventure Rentals VS Ontario Ice Weasels
I keep under estimating Ontario, and I am going to do it again I fear. I got to go with my gut though, and my gut says that KKAR will withstand the Ice Storm that the Weasels' Offense will bring. My only real question is weather or not KKAR's offense will produce against a solid Ontario defense.


Game prediction: 28 - 17 Ketchikan Kamper Adventure Rentals

Game 6: New Orleans Hoodoo Voodoo VS Chicago Blitz
New Orleans gets a breather this week against the under performing Chicago Blitz. The Blitz need a win to right their struggling ship. I don't think it will come this week, as another hole gets punched in their already leaky hull.

Game prediction: 36 - 10 New Orleans


Game 7: WAR MACHINE VS Baton Rouge Buccaneers
The WAR MACHINE really stumbled last week against a surging Ontario team. Baton Rouge played horribly last week against 8 Mile and are hoping to stop their loosing streak at 3. I don't see that happening though, and I think the WAR MACHINE want's to make a statement that they are here to play.

Game prediction: 35 - 13 WAR MACHINE

Game 8: Corpus Christi Illegal Aliens VS Gaines Panthers
Its been really hard for me to get a read on Ontario and Corpus Christi this season, I haven't seen them play before now, but I was familiar with just about everyone else in the Conference. This game is a no brainier though, another 255 - 0 loss for the Panthers.

Game prediction: 255 - 0 Corpus Christi.

And that's this weeks predictions! Remember the grain of salt.... This weeks salty goodness is brought to you by tasty Saltine Crackers. Horrible fare for 420 dry mouth, but O so tasty in Chili.

Hope this was fun for you!

-Cryptotich
Edited by Cryptotich on Jun 10, 2010 14:29:51
 
ufshowboat
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Should be a good week. Just need to fix our little turnover problem. 13 picks in 4 games is pretty bad. Throw in a ton of fumbles and it's nightmare watching the sim.

Good luck to all. Thanks for the write up.
 
Dozer Dogmeat
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I like chili.


And these write-ups.

Thanks for taking the time.

(you to jp!)
 
sdspawn
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Crypt, if I didn't know how much time you spend on our AI, I'd tell you to stop writing all this! 8 Mile covers the spread. Well done as always!
 
King of Bling
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Wow, big week out West. 2 killer matchups!
 
coyote4848
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The Rebel Yell showed us 2 very big holes in our defense, we have some work to do.
 
ptriley
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nice right up.....
 
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nice writeup. after watchin me pirates, I woulda called WM to stomp us 50 to 7, though. hopin that aint the case, but I'm really feelin those morale and energy changes.

Jack the Pirate

 
Cryptotich
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Lets see how I did.

Game 1: Austin Wineswilling Fancy Boys VS Richmond Rebel Yell.
Game prediction: 24 - 21 Austin.
Actual: 26 - 17

Richmond did a good job hanging with the Wineswillers. It bodes well for them that their defense did a good job against the run, holding Austins RB's to under 4 yards per carry. Their pass defense took a hit, but that is to be expected when playing Austin.

Game 2: Honolulu Hurricane Wife Carriers VS New Jersey Battalion
Game Prediction: 38 - 34 Honolulu Hurricane Wife Carriers.
Actual: 63 - 10

Where did New Jersey's pass defense go? and where did their offensive passing game go? Giving up 600+ passing yards was NOT in the game plan. I expected a Honolulu win, but not by that much.

Game 3: Bratislava Lambeau Leapers VS Chicago Beasts
Game prediction: 34 - 17 Bratislava.
Actual: 29 - 17 Chicago Beasts

4farve hates me, he really, really, does. I am forever jinxing his team with my predictions. The Chicago defense just dominated against Bratislava, racking up 14 sacks and 11 hurries. Their offense played well, despite the 2 picks, and pulled off a win.

Game 4: SOUTH GEORGIA GROWL VS 8 Mile Assault
Game prediction: 28 - 14 SOUTH GEORGIA
Actual: 54 - 7 SOUTH GEORGIA

I hate it when I pick against my own team, and am right. I hate it even more when I blow the spread. I hate it even, even, even, more when my team just gets dominated. It was a sad day in the 8 mile locker room. We were outplayed in every facet of the game. Even 4 Picks couldn't turn the tide in our favor. It must have been the Free Natcho's that did it... Yah... that's what it was.... The "Pick Em" teams are going to be pissed.

Game 5: Ketchikan Kamper Adventure Rentals VS Ontario Ice Weasels
Game prediction: 28 - 17 Ketchikan Kamper Adventure Rentals
Actual: 44 - 17 KKAR

Ok, I think I have a better understanding of Ontario, and I got their offensive score right. I did expect a better defensive showing.... That or I underestimated KKAR's offense. A surprising statistic? Time of possession Ontario 30:07 : KKAR 28:22. It's not often that the team with the lower time of possession looses the game, and even less often by a 27 point spread.

Game 6: New Orleans Hoodoo Voodoo VS Chicago Blitz
Game prediction: 36 - 10 New Orleans
Actual: 28 -17 New Orleans

True to form, New Orleans has again bounced back after disaster. QB Road Warrior Hawk had a great game throwing for 205 yards and a pair of TD's, and HB Uppthe Gutt racked up a 10.5 yards per carry for 137 yards and 2 TD's to give New Orleans new life in the playoff hunt.

Game 7: WAR MACHINE VS Baton Rouge Buccaneers
Game prediction: 35 - 13 WAR MACHINE
Actual: 83 - 7 WAR MACHINE

The WAR MACHINE cranked up the gears a few notches, to roll over the Buccaneers. I expected them to do well, just not that well. Great job Loonzilla!

Game 8: Corpus Christi Illegal Aliens VS Gaines Panthers
Game prediction: 255 - 0 Corpus Christi.
Actual 255 - 0 (383 - 0) Corpus Christi
Nothing new here.... Move along.

Well this week I went 7-8. I really would have liked to have gone 6-8, but alas a sub par game by 8 mile ruined any chance of that. From here on out, the game predictions are going to get even harder, as the 2nd tier teams start playing each other. It's still a wide open playoff race for 4-8th seed.

Congratulations to the winners!
Edited by Cryptotich on Jun 12, 2010 13:08:39
Edited by Cryptotich on Jun 12, 2010 13:07:46
Edited by Cryptotich on Jun 12, 2010 13:07:28
Edited by Cryptotich on Jun 12, 2010 13:07:12
 
ufshowboat
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Props for making some good picks
 
kwankwan
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Originally posted by ufshowboat
Props for making some good picks


 
ptriley
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Originally posted by kwankwan
Originally posted by ufshowboat

Props for making some good picks




 


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