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Forum > North American Pro League > Canada Conference > Predictions & Projections • Season 15 • Week 7
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FLGator
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For those new or otherwise unfamiliar...these are not my predictions. They come from an old, old Satchmo-N-Dizzy spreadsheet that compiles the data from the games played to date to come up with a set of predictions for the remainder of the season.

They're wildly erratic during the first weeks of the season and begin to take shape as we near the end of the season. The glut of 255-0 wins skew the predicted scores in both the Eastern and Western Conferences...
 
FLGator
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Eastern Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Iowa Barnstormers………..……………16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 2,199 . . .....43
..2 . . Bloodweiser Bugle All Stars………..…15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . 1,801 . . .....81
..3 . . Village Dogs…………………………….13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 1,535 . . ...153
..4 . . Cleveland BrownSnakes………..……..12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 1,168 . . ...265
..5 . . Hudson Bay Horrors………..………….12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 1,325 . . ...362
..6 . . Niagara Maulers………………………..10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 1,063 . . ...217
..7 . . Charlesburgh Black Iron Dragons…....9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...584 . . ...269
..8 . . East Coast Chaos……………………....8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . ...896 . . ...323
..9 . . Cobden Muskrats………………………..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . 1,006 . . ...429
..10 . . Venetian Blinds………..……………....7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . 1,057 . . ...564
..11 . . Puvirnituq Musketeers………………..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 1,045 . . ...440
..12 . . Leaders Gaulois……………………....4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 1,606 . . ...824
..13 . . Paradise Cheeseburgers…………....4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 1,139 . . ...403
..14 . . Yellowknife Rented Mules…………....2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . ...465 . . 2,047
..15 . . Cape Verde Kings 2.0………………...1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . ...208 . . 1,365
..16 . . Thunder Bay ERRATICS……………...0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .......0 . . 9,553

Niagara Maulers vs East Coast Chaos (12-6) Spread: 6
Cobden Muskrats vs Puvirnituq Musketeers (14-13) Spread: 1
Village Dogs vs Paradise Cheeseburgers (34-5) Spread: 29
Iowa Barnstormers vs Cleveland BrownSnakes (28-4) Spread: 24
Bloodweiser Bugle All Stars vs Yellowknife Rented Mules (221-3) Spread: 218
Venetian Blinds vs Leaders Gaulois (35-14) Spread: 21
Cape Verde Kings 2.0 vs Thunder Bay ERRATICS (127-0) Spread: 127
Hudson Bay Horrors vs Charlesburgh Black Iron Dragons (12-9) Spread: 3
 
FLGator
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Western Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Queensland Exiles……………………..16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,607 . . .....73
..2 . . North Bay Drift…………………………..15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . 3,613 . . ...163
..3 . . Thunder Bay Wolverines………………12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . 1,317 . . ...203
..4 . . Houston Vikings………………………..11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 3,907 . . ...275
..5 . . Kansas City Rams……………………..11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 1,598 . . ...396
..6 . . Nebraska Maniac Gorillas !……………11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 1,268 . . ...253
..7 . . Windsor Walruses………………………10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 1,823 . . ...361
..8 . . Kodiak Bears……………………………..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 1,195 . . ...454
..9 . . Windsor Flyers…………………………...8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 1,855 . . ...363
..10 . . Winnipeg Warriors……………………..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...761 . . ...319
..11 . . Saskatoon Silverbacks………………..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 1,405 . . ...481
..12 . . St. John's Salty Dogs…………………..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...544 . . ...187
..13 . . Montreal Rulers………………………...5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...627 . . ...355
..14 . . Surrey Fighting Stanleys……………....4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . ...439 . . ...364
..15 . . Royal Canadian Kilted Yaksmen……..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . .....76 . . 5,595
..16 . . North Delta Huskies…………………...0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .......0 . . 11,953

Kansas City Rams vs Kodiak Bears (28-25) Spread: 3
Nebraska Maniac Gorillas ! vs Royal Canadian Kilted Yaksmen (485-0) Spread: 485
St. John's Salty Dogs vs Saskatoon Silverbacks (10-8) Spread: 2
Windsor Flyers vs Surrey Fighting Stanleys (18-5) Spread: 13
Queensland Exiles vs Thunder Bay Wolverines (16-6) Spread: 10
North Bay Drift vs Winnipeg Warriors (32-5) Spread: 27
Montreal Rulers vs North Delta Huskies (318-0) Spread: 318
Houston Vikings vs Windsor Walruses (25-12) Spread: 13
 
XUMuskie85
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Cobden Muskrats vs Puvirnituq Musketeers (14-13) Spread: 1

They do always beat us, bastards.
 
evileyez
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Ugh that QE/TB spread makes me uneasy
 
GrandMasterC
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Originally posted by FLGator

Hudson Bay Horrors vs Charlesburgh Black Iron Dragons (12-9) Spread: 3


whew! just barely covered the spread.

 
redrayder28
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Originally posted by FLGator
Western Conference

..11 . . Saskatoon Silverbacks………………..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . 1,405 . . ...481

St. John's Salty Dogs vs Saskatoon Silverbacks (10-8) Spread: 2


Man, that predictor sure doesn't like us much this season.

I don't think we belong among the Conference Elite this season but I don't think we're the 11th team or a 6-10 team either.

 
Illig INC
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good job Gator, I just like you predicting us to have a winning season this yr....
 
kfd277
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having used the predictor spreadsheet in 7 of the last 10 seasons and as Gator pointed out, blowout wins in the beginning of the season have a huge impact on how it calculates spreads/winners.

we benefit from our "Erratics" win and are rated way toooooo high at this point.

We are hoping for 8 wins. 11-5 will not happen for the Vikes.
 
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Musketeer SMASH
Eleven NO!!!!
 
rellascout
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Originally posted by FLGator
Eastern Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Iowa Barnstormers………..……………16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 2,199 . . .....43


No way we go undefeated this season. We are a paper tiger. Look at the strength of our schedule to date.


 
thelanger
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That spreadsheet was annoyingly accurate last season as I recall!

Bloodweiser too low obv


Nice one for doing this FLG.

After the next 2-3 games it'll be a little clearer where we all stand imo...except for HBH, but it's the regular season so I wouldn't put *too* much stock in results.
 
Phog
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ECC pulls a victory out of their ass.
 
GrandMasterC
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Originally posted by thelanger
That spreadsheet was annoyingly accurate last season as I recall!

Bloodweiser too low obv


Nice one for doing this FLG.

After the next 2-3 games it'll be a little clearer where we all stand imo...except for HBH, but it's the regular season so I wouldn't put *too* much stock in results.


yeah, the next 2-3 games for us are stat-builders.
 
Bluehaze
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Originally posted by GrandMasterC
yeah, the next 2-3 games for us are stat-builders.


Yeah, but the 4 after that are going to be freakin' brutal

*edit for typo*
Edited by Bluehaze on Apr 20, 2010 20:53:14
 
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