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haole
the one who knocks
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Key matchups to end the season

Tet Offensive (13-2) at Bangalore Monsoon (14-1)

Bangalore needed simply a win in either Week 15 or Week 16 to clinch the No. 1 seed in garuda, but a surprising 34-13 loss to Buffalo ended the Monsoon's hopes for a perfect season and shakes up the top of the gardua bracket a little.

Krungthep and LSP both have byes to end the season (Garudas vs. MMJ; LSP vs. Dharma), so a loss here by Bangalore gives back the No. 1 seed to Krungthep.

Tet's only losses have come to Krungthep and LSP, so a win here is a crucial tiebreaker for what would be three teams tied for second place. Bangalore has a big lead in points allowed, followed by LSP and then Tet, so the only way Tet can move up the tiebreakers is by beating Bangalore by more than 148 points -- which isn't going to happen. And LSP isn't going to allow the 80 points versus a CPU team that Tet would need to jump into third place.

So a Tet win would set the top 4 in the bracket as
(1) Krungthep
(2) Bangalore
(3) LSP
(4) Tet

A Bangalore win would make the bracket
(1) Bangalore
(2) Krungthep
(3) LSP
(4) Tet

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Bali Insurrection (8-7) at Portland Dirty Penguins (7-8) and
Blue Renegade Wino Smurfs of Funkalicious Labatt (7-8) at Thai Fighters (10-5)

A win by PDP would give them the head-to-head tiebreaker against Bali, and a three-way tiebreaker against the Smurfs for the final playoff spot. The Smurfs would also need to win in that scenario. Bali is in the playoffs regardless of W/L unless the would somehow allow 100 more points than the Smurfs in this one game.

If a three-way tie were to occur, the first tiebreaker would become null because the head-to-head record would be 1-1 for all three teams. Bali is leading the pack on the second tiebreaker with just 330 points allowed, followed by PDP at 363 and the Smurfs at 430, so Bali has the No. 7 unless PDP beats them by more than 33 points.

A loss by PDP would mean that the Smurfs are in regardless, as the Smurfs hold the H2H tiebreaker over PDP. The only way the outcome of the Smurfs game is relevant is if the Smurfs beat Thai by 68 more points than PDP beats Bali -- which isn't likely to happen -- then the Smurfs would get the three-way tiebreaker over PDP for the final playoff spot.

So in other words:

If PDP wins by fewer than 33 points, the bottom of the SEA Naga bracket would be:
7) Bali
8) PDP

If PDP wins by more than 33 points:
7) PDP
8) Bali

If PDP loses:
7) Bali
8) Smurfs
Edited by haole on Mar 9, 2010 17:54:19
Edited by haole on Mar 9, 2010 16:08:57
Edited by haole on Mar 9, 2010 12:39:03
 
Victory Jones
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nice work haole...
 
Polorl69
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Nice writeup


Bangalore....we are taking bribes
 
CMON
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I wouldn't mind seeing an LSP v Krungthep match in the 2nd round....

that being said... we are still gonna bring it vs Bangalore
 
fool
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nice work Haole!

please edit to correct lower case "g" for garuda conference.
 
Texan DTD
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Nice work!

Here's hoping PDP pulls off a win against a very tough Bali squad.
 
TaintStick
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Bring on the garudas!!
 
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Great job!
 
HEY YOU GUYS
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haole
the one who knocks
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Originally posted by fool
nice work Haole!

please edit to correct lower case "g" for garuda conference.


done!
 
TaintStick
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Originally posted by CMON
I wouldn't mind seeing an LSP v Krungthep match in the 2nd round....

that being said... we are still gonna bring it vs Bangalore


I would rather us play them in the first round. Any way that scenario can happen Haole?
 
ScullyDawg
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except that the Smurfs are 7-8...not 8-7. The only way there's a 3-way tie is if the Smurfs beat Thai. If they lose and Bali beats PDP, the Smurfs will be in cuz of hte H2H. However if PDP beats Bali, I think Smurfs are done unless they pull a rabbit out and spank a Thai team that improve each week.
 
MadCow420
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Originally posted by ScullyDawg
except that the Smurfs are 7-8...not 8-7. The only way there's a 3-way tie is if the Smurfs beat Thai. If they lose and Bali beats PDP, the Smurfs will be in cuz of hte H2H. However if PDP beats Bali, I think Smurfs are done unless they pull a rabbit out and spank a Thai team that improve each week.


no, if pdp wins, and we win, we hold h2h vs pdp....right, i dunno
 
Texan DTD
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Originally posted by MadCow DTD
no, if pdp wins, and we win, we hold h2h vs pdp....right, i dunno


No, it would be a 3 way tie, then tie-breaker is points allowed as per Haole's post, which leaves Bali 7, PDP 8, The Blue 9.
 
HEY YOU GUYS
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Originally posted by Texan
No, it would be a 3 way tie, then tie-breaker is points allowed as per Haole's post, which leaves Bali 7, PDP 8, The Blue 9.


Assuming the first two dont allow a lot of points and latter doesn't week 16
 
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