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Forum > USA BBB Leagues > USA BBB #3 > Playoff Probabilities
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Sarg01
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West

#8 seed:
Death Valley Assassins, 60% probabilty - If Philly beats 4-11 Arkansas, DVA must beat 12-3 PwzerTown to avoid #8 seed
FantasyFanbase All-Stars, 25% probability - Guaranteed at least #7 if they beat 10-5 Rotoguru or if Philly loses to 4-11 Arkansas
Philadelphia Fighters, 15% probability - Will get #8 seed if they lose to 4-11 Arkansas OR if the other two 8-7 teams win

AT

#1 seed:
LA Arsenal, 98% probability - as long as they don't lose to 1-14 Asheville, they have this

#7 seed:
FantasyFanbase All-Stars, 65% probability - They get this spot if both they and DVA lose. In fact, they get this spot as long as DVA loses and Philly wins. They also get it if all three 8-7 teams win.
Philadelphia Fighters, 25% probability - Philly gets this spot if they beat 4-11 Arkansas AND either DVA or FantasyFanbase loses, but not both.
Death Valley Assassins, 10% probability - They get this spot if Philadelphia loses (unlikely) and FantasyFanBase wins, regardless of whether they win or lose their match with PwzerTown.

AT

#2 seed:

Houston Toros, 78% probability - they get this spot if they defeat the 8-7 Nevada Rampage (assuming LA wins their game)
Honolulu Bulls, 20% probability - they get this spot if Houston loses (or theoretically, if LA loses) and they win against 3-12 St. Louis

#6 seed:

Philadelphia Fighters, 60% probability - They get this if they win their game against 4-11 Arkansas and DVA loses.
FantasyFanbase All-Stars, 10% probability - They get this spot if they defeat 10-5 Rotoguru and Philly loses.
Death Valley Assassins, 30% probability - They get this spot if FantasyFanbase and Philly both lose OR if all three 8-7 teams win


AT

#3 seed:

Honolulu Bulls, 80% probability - They get this spot unless Houston loses to the 8-7 Nevada Rampage
Houston Toros, 20% probability - They get this spot if they lose and Honolulu wins vs 3-12 St. Louis

#5 seed:

Denver Outlaws, 100% probability - nothing can change this short of a hacker or "deus ex bortica"

AT

#4 seed:

Compton Vikings, 100% probability - nothing can change this


East later ...
Last edited May 24, 2008 23:22:08
 
Snipes25
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USB = Probability 0.0000000000000000000%

LOL
 
skibodragula
McFroggin
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not only do the frogs not get into the playoffs.....we had to sell some of our players legs to finance our drug habits...ahahah...frog rule USB sucks!!!peace out to the playoff teams

frogs will be comin' to your city next year fo' sho'...!!!!
 
Luzod
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Funny that if Arsenal win the first playoff game, he'll face one of the two teams he couldn't beat in the second game.
 
Sarg01
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Originally posted by Luzod
Funny that if Arsenal win the first playoff game, he'll face one of the two teams he couldn't beat in the second game.


Not necessarily. That only happens if Houston and Honolulu win as well.
 
Scoot
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how do the matchups work after the first round? as in the winner of which two games would play eachother in the second and third round?
 
Luzod
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http://goallineblitz.com/game/playoff_bracket.pl?league_id=42&conference_id=0
 
Luzod
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Originally posted by Sarg01
Originally posted by Luzod

Funny that if Arsenal win the first playoff game, he'll face one of the two teams he couldn't beat in the second game.


Not necessarily. That only happens if Houston and Honolulu win as well.


? What Honolulu and Houston has to deal with it?
 
maddyn99
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Nice work.

Either way we are playing the Toros. I dont see either of us losing in the first round.
Last edited May 25, 2008 11:33:52
 
Luzod
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Last edited May 25, 2008 12:46:46
 
vtech9
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Originally posted by maddyn99
Nice work.

Either way we are losing to the Toros in the 2nd. I dont see either of us losing in the first round.


There, I fixed it for you...lol. J/K...I know we are going to have another tough game. No matter which one of us wins, it will be tough to win it all.
 
maddyn99
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Originally posted by vtech9
Originally posted by maddyn99

Nice work.

Either way we are losing to the Toros in the 2nd. I dont see either of us losing in the first round.


There, I fixed it for you...lol. J/K...I know we are going to have another tough game. No matter which one of us wins, it will be tough to win it all.


haha, you got us the 1st time, lets see if you can pull another win out of that hat
 
Scoot
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i nominate vtech to do the scouting for this round ... my brain still hurts from last time lol. we're getting ahead of ourselves though, surviving that far is going to be challenging enough.
 
vtech9
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Originally posted by maddyn99
Originally posted by vtech9

Originally posted by maddyn99


Nice work.

Either way we are losing to the Toros in the 2nd. I dont see either of us losing in the first round.


There, I fixed it for you...lol. J/K...I know we are going to have another tough game. No matter which one of us wins, it will be tough to win it all.


haha, you got us the 1st time, lets see if you can pull another win out of that hat


We'll do our best, just as I know you guys will. It will be tough.

Originally posted by Scoot
i nominate vtech to do the scouting for this round ... my brain still hurts from last time lol. we're getting ahead of ourselves though, surviving that far is going to be challenging enough.


You're right, we need to get there first.
 
Sarg01
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East

#8 seed:

Nevada Rampage, 100% probability - nothing can change this

AT

#1 seed:

Oklahoma Bootleggers, 100% probability - nothing can change this

#7 seed:

Rotoguru Marauders II, 100% probability - nothing can change this (they lost to both teams they can tie with)

AT

#2 seed:

VEGAS Goodfellas, 65% probability - Beating 4-11 Farkistan should be simple enough, but they also need PwzrTown to lose OR Lexington to win
PwzrTown Dream Team, 35% probability - They need to win against 8-7 Death Valley AND need Lexington to lose to 12-3 Compton



#6 seed:

Pittsburgh Steel Curtain, 36% probability - They should have no trouble beating 3-12 West Charleville, but they need help from other teams to finish higher than the 6th seed
PwzerTown Dream Team, 34% probability - If they lose to 8-7 Death Valley, and the Purple People Eaters defeat the 6-9 Bayou Bengals, they will get the #6 seed
Minnesota Purple People Eaters, 30% probability - They finish here if they lose to the 6-9 Bengals

AT

#3 seed:

Lexington Lynx, 40% probability - all they need is for PwzerTown to lose and they lock up the 3rd seed, regardless of their own game
VEGAS Goodfellas, 35% probability - If PwzerTown wins and Lexington loses, they are #3 seed
PwzerTown Dream Team, 25% probability - If they win and Lexington does as well, they get this spot

#5 seed:

Minnesota Purple People Eaters, 42% probability - If they beat the 6-9 Bengals AND PwzerTown loses to 8-7 Death Valley, they get this spot
Pittsburgh Steel Curtain, 40% probability - If Minn PPE loses, they get this spot. They also get it if Minn PPE win and PwzerTown loses
PwzerTown Dream Team, 18% probability - They end up here if both they and Minnesota are upset

AT

#4 seed:

Lexington Lynx, 60% probability - If PwzerTown wins, they get this spot, their own game is irrelevant
Minnesota Purple People Eaters, 28% probability - First, they have to win. If PwzerTown loses, they grab this last home playoff spot
Pittsburgh Steel Curtain, 12% probability - If both Minnesota and PwzerTown lose, they finagle a home playoff game

One very interesting note ... the Lexington Lynx, who have one of the most competitive looking matchups, have nothing to play for.

Their seeding will be determined entirely by the PwzerTown game as they have tiebreakers on all three of the teams (PwzerTown, Minnesota, Pittsburgh) that might end up in a 12-4 tie, but finish last in both a 2 (VEGAS) and 3-way tie at 13-3 (VEGAS, PwzerTown). At least Lexington has the comfort of knowing that regardless of whether they finish #3 or #4, they are locked in to a home playoff.

However, the game is not irrelevant to other teams ... PwzerTown captures the #2 seed if they end up in a 2-way with VEGAS at 13-3, but in a 3-way tie at 13-3 the results are VEGAS, PwzerTown, Lexington.


Last edited May 25, 2008 14:23:25
 
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