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jmog
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Well, I just looked over the schedules and as of now the 8 playoff spots are pretty much locked up.

Cleveland would need a miracle to pass New Jersey or Trinsic.

Las Vegas has locked up the #1 seed and USA has locked up a home game (assuming they win their last 2 easy games).

McLuney has pretty much locked up a home game unless there is a big upset by Cleveland, then the Danbury game would be a must win for a home game. McLuney only has to win 1 more game to lock up a home game.

Danbury and Buncha both control their own destiny to the last home game spot. They play each other next game so whoever wins should get the home game. Buncha HAS to win out to get it, Danbury only needs 1 win in 2 games. So even if Buncha beats Danbury and then Danbury beats McLuney, Danbury still will get the home game.

Buncha needs to go 2-0 against Danbury and New Jersey (2 tough teams) and Danbury would have to go 0-2 against Buncha and McLuney (2 tough teams) for Buncha to get the home game above Danbury.

Tulsa has been eliminated from home game contention, even though they are going to win their last 2 games, they have lost to USA, Danbury, and McLuney so they have no way of winning the tie breakers if they tie with any of them for the 4th spot.

New Jersey and Trinsic are both trying to avoid the 8th seed as to not have to play Las Vegas the first week in the playoffs. Trinsic has to get a game ahead of New Jersey to get the 7th seed since New Jersey has the tie breaker over them with a head to head win.
 
E-Money5
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I think #1 and #7 and 8 will not change. Everything in between is up for grabs though with some of the teams in that range are playing each other. Expect USAORG which probably has the easiest schedule from now until the playoffs.
 
Lewk57
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I just posted on the other thread that I believe that the Top 4 is locked up with LV, MCluney, USA and Danbury.
LV is 1st
USA will not lose either of its last 2 so they are a lock
only 1 out of Danbury and Mcluney can finish at 12-4. I don't think Mcluney will lose it's next game so they are pretty much a lock.
If Danbury loses it's next 2 there would be a 3 way tie for the last spot with all teams being 1-1 against each other so it will go to points and Danbury currently has a 400+ point advantage on both teams. The only way it doesn't work out this way is if Trinsic beats Tulsa, Tulsa would then fall out of the tie breaker and Buncha would have the head to head on Danbury and get the 4th spot.

Taken from Wiki:
When two or more teams have the same regular season record, seeding comes down to the following tiebreakers.

To determine the winner of a tie within a Conference the following Tiebreakers go into effect:

1. If there are only 2 teams tied (same record), higher seed is the winner of the head-to-head match up.

1. If there are more than 2 teams tied (same record), then it's based upon these factor in this order:
1. Number of head-to-head wins against the other tied teams with the same record.
2. Number of total points scored.
3. Number of total points allowed.
Last edited Jan 30, 2009 08:53:38
 
jmog
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I agree Lewk, weird that the Tulsa/Trinsic game will basically decide between Buncha and Danbury for the last home game (assuming Danbury goes 0-2 and Buncha goes 2-0).

I don't think I'd want to finish 4th/5th right now since your first playoff game whether its home or away would be against Buncha with all their new players.

Matter of fact, even 1-3 seads won't have it easy with Tulsa/Trinsic/New Jersey as the ones you'll play.

And worry wildfury, but 7/8 are not set, Trinsic has been on a tear lately and if they beat Tulsa they will take over the 7 spot from you guys if you guys lose to Buncha in the last week of the season.

Las Vegas is locked in at 1.

McLuney is locked in between 2-4, pretty much guaranteed a home game at this point.

USA is locked in between 2-4.

Danbury is locked between 2-5

Buncha could go anywhere from 4-8.

Tulsa can go from 5-8.

Trinsic can go from 5-8.

New Jersey can go from 6-8.



 
E-Money5
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Originally posted by jmog
I agree Lewk, weird that the Tulsa/Trinsic game will basically decide between Buncha and Danbury for the last home game (assuming Danbury goes 0-2 and Buncha goes 2-0).

I don't think I'd want to finish 4th/5th right now since your first playoff game whether its home or away would be against Buncha with all their new players.

Matter of fact, even 1-3 seads won't have it easy with Tulsa/Trinsic/New Jersey as the ones you'll play.

And worry wildfury, but 7/8 are not set, Trinsic has been on a tear lately and if they beat Tulsa they will take over the 7 spot from you guys if you guys lose to Buncha in the last week of the season.

Las Vegas is locked in at 1.

McLuney is locked in between 2-4, pretty much guaranteed a home game at this point.

USA is locked in between 2-4.

Danbury is locked between 2-5

Buncha could go anywhere from 4-8.

Tulsa can go from 5-8.

Trinsic can go from 5-8.

New Jersey can go from 6-8.





I know what your saying but I was just stating my opinion that I think that the three spots I mentioned are not going to change.
 
Llyranwyar
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This game, http://goallineblitz.com/game/game.pl?game_id=299037, and this game, http://goallineblitz.com/game/game.pl?game_id=299027 are giving the folks in Trinsic a good feeling. I can't wait to see if we can give 'em hell.
 
im317
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do follow those game plans, you don't honestly think we don't adjust when we see a problem. anyway Tulsa is looking forward to a rematch vrs USA.
 
Llyranwyar
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No.....I assume that you will stick your head in the sand and hope Trinsic will go away. Duh, isn't that what everyone does?
 
jmog
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Originally posted by im317
do follow those game plans, you don't honestly think we don't adjust when we see a problem. anyway Tulsa is looking forward to a rematch vrs USA.


You have to get there first...can't have a rematch unless you make it that far.

I'm going to go out on a limb and say Trinsic pulls the upset today.
 
Lewk57
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Danbury is pulling for Tulsa but we need to take care of our own business first.
 
jmog
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I don't think the Trinsic/Tulsa game affects McLuney much like it does Danbury, I just think Trinsic will pull the upset.
 
im317
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Originally posted by jmog
Originally posted by im317

do follow those game plans, you don't honestly think we don't adjust when we see a problem. anyway Tulsa is looking forward to a rematch vrs USA.


You have to get there first...can't have a rematch unless you make it that far.

I'm going to go out on a limb and say Trinsic pulls the upset today.


Tulsa has clinched a playoff spot already. we will get a rematch with USA so long as they win enough games.
 
PhireHawk
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Originally posted by jmog
Tulsa has been eliminated from home game contention, even though they are going to win their last 2 games...


Whoops...

New Jersey and Trinsic are both trying to avoid the 8th seed as to not have to play Las Vegas the first week in the playoffs. Trinsic has to get a game ahead of New Jersey to get the 7th seed since New Jersey has the tie breaker over them with a head to head win.


Wrong

There is no team we don't want to play.

We are the team you don't want to see, trust me...
 
jmog
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I did change my mind before your game and call the upset .

I think Trinsic finishes as the 6th seed even. New Jersey will probably lose to Buncha and you guys will be tied with Trinsic for the 6/7 spot with wins next game. You guys will obviously have the tie breaker over Tulsa moving you to 6 and Tulsa to 7th.

That honestly makes me want to beat Danbury even more, keeping us at 2nd to get Tulsa instead of 3rd to get you guys.

Tulsa and New Jersey are great teams, but at this point I'd rather play them than Trinsic or Buncha.
 
Llyranwyar
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Originally posted by im317
do follow those game plans, you don't honestly think we don't adjust when we see a problem. anyway Tulsa is looking forward to a rematch vrs USA.


A little disrespectful, you think? Seems to assume that I don't think for myself and understand what's going on.
 
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