Originally posted by Theo Wizzago
I'm more with the Gup on this. When talkin top quality teams and very well built dots you're likely not going to get many fringe outcomes. Forced fumbles can happen... but, overall, it's a very low % outcome. Most top returners don't fumble but 1 or 2 times in an entire season (if that)... so you're banking on a low % play to help you only a few times a season. I've always been (as a ST guy) much more interested in negating any return as my #1 thing. First stat I always check on my punters and kickers is net yardage (distance-return distance). I know pinning my opponent deep, as long as I got a good defense, is my #1 way of ensuring they don't score and gaining the advantage in field position is the #1 way I ensure we do score. Most points wins games.
Just for reference, took my top 14 cas pro competitive games and forced 5 on punts and 4 on kickoffs, so they happen more than you think.
I'm more with the Gup on this. When talkin top quality teams and very well built dots you're likely not going to get many fringe outcomes. Forced fumbles can happen... but, overall, it's a very low % outcome. Most top returners don't fumble but 1 or 2 times in an entire season (if that)... so you're banking on a low % play to help you only a few times a season. I've always been (as a ST guy) much more interested in negating any return as my #1 thing. First stat I always check on my punters and kickers is net yardage (distance-return distance). I know pinning my opponent deep, as long as I got a good defense, is my #1 way of ensuring they don't score and gaining the advantage in field position is the #1 way I ensure we do score. Most points wins games.

Just for reference, took my top 14 cas pro competitive games and forced 5 on punts and 4 on kickoffs, so they happen more than you think.




I can create fumbles against CPU and mediocre dots but, agaist the best builders, it's much less likely to happen. Also, against the best dots, you're much more likely to give up TD returns than against those 'other' teams so forcing the best returners to fair catch... or to hold them to very short returns... that will win you many games. I'm not quite as good at ST's as Guppy was/is... and we didn't see eye to eye on everything... but I learned a buttload of stuff from the ol' fish that I still use all the time.























