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Forum > Pro Leagues > updated zeta playoff picture after week 13
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bhall43
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Originally posted by Dpride59
Hey you're that dude who signed a player to 5stars team, then removed gear for the title game and set tactics to relaxed only to get KTFO. Cool


lol...no shit
 
bhall43
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Originally posted by Dpride59
Fuck it here our my multi accounts

Tautology
imthecrew
flames54


flames54 killed it...that dude was so clueless about OAI i dont even know what to say...i literally lol at anyone who says he was amazing.
 
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Originally posted by bhall43
flames54 killed it...that dude was so clueless about OAI i dont even know what to say...i literally lol at anyone who says he was amazing.


I don't think anyone attempts to memorarialize his OAI. Instead he's applauded as a builder who was the game's most vocal early addict of speed.
 
bhall43
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Originally posted by Larry Roadgrader
I don't think anyone attempts to memorarialize his OAI. Instead he's applauded as a builder who was the game's most vocal early addict of speed.


he quit when the game got somewhat..."difficult"....you can memorialize the scrub...have fun with that.
 
Bladnach
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Originally posted by KingDan23

It shouldn't feel good cos you totally ballsed it up mayne.


A for effort imo
 
ricksta1975
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Originally posted by Sik Wit It
How bout that goal Gareth Bale scored over the weekend? Pretty awesome. You guys played like crap though.


a win is a win
 
Saris
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Originally posted by Larry Roadgrader
Originally posted by bhall43

flames54 killed it...that dude was so clueless about OAI i dont even know what to say...i literally lol at anyone who says he was amazing.


I don't think anyone attempts to memorarialize his OAI. Instead he's applauded as a builder who was the game's most vocal early addict of speed.


Most vocal sums it up, the top teams in usap were already using speed builds and doing it better than the Aces who were pretty mediocre.
 
Gart888
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Originally posted by Sik Wit It
Accurate representation of dpride's trolling techniques: Y/N?


lolyup
 
jdbolick
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Originally posted by Sik Wit It
http://img837.imageshack.us/img837/5784/1264324932283.jpg

Accurate representation of dpride's trolling techniques: Y/N?

 
NiborRis
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Only 1 game this week in Zeta doesn't have playoff implications.
I considered going through scenarios but there's 22 games left that can determine who's in and out, and I don't feel comfortable calling any of them except perhaps Carthage and Blaze over the Feebs. Maybe after this week's games...
 
joemiken
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Originally posted by bhall43
maybe three of those teams would have really made an impact on the WL this season.


Nairobi would be contending for a playoff spot in lolpha. Zeta, not so much...
 
NiborRis
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Okay, ran a little script to look at how many wins it's going to take to get into Zeta playoffs.
Right now the 11 teams in contention have 22 games remaining between them, for just under 4.2 million scenarios.
In 8640 cases, it will take 10 wins to make the playoffs.
In 11,772 cases, at least one 7-9 team will make the playoffs.
More surprising to me is that there are a LOT of scenarios where 8 wins will make it - I figured 9 was going to be the minimum for sure.
9 wins: 2,257,345 scenarios (54%)
8 wins: 1,916,547 scenarios (46%)
Now, those %s don't mean much unless you're assuming each game outcome is equally likely (and they aren't) but still seems like a lot of paths for an 8-8 team to get in.

Because of that, I'm actually re-running this with the Revolution in the mix and their game against Korb (8.3 million scenarios) - I expect that will erase almost all of the 7-win cases.

I'll look at it again after today's games, which knocks it down to 15 games and just 32,768 scenarios (unless the Revolution win today, in which case they're still alive and it's 16 games and double the scenarios).
 
GMathiasf
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8 wins isn't going to happen because like you said each game outcome is not equally likely at all.
 
zakatakrr
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Originally posted by NiborRis
Okay, ran a little script to look at how many wins it's going to take to get into Zeta playoffs.
Right now the 11 teams in contention have 22 games remaining between them, for just under 4.2 million scenarios.
In 8640 cases, it will take 10 wins to make the playoffs.
In 11,772 cases, at least one 7-9 team will make the playoffs.
More surprising to me is that there are a LOT of scenarios where 8 wins will make it - I figured 9 was going to be the minimum for sure.
9 wins: 2,257,345 scenarios (54%)
8 wins: 1,916,547 scenarios (46%)
Now, those %s don't mean much unless you're assuming each game outcome is equally likely (and they aren't) but still seems like a lot of paths for an 8-8 team to get in.

Because of that, I'm actually re-running this with the Revolution in the mix and their game against Korb (8.3 million scenarios) - I expect that will erase almost all of the 7-win cases.

I'll look at it again after today's games, which knocks it down to 15 games and just 32,768 scenarios (unless the Revolution win today, in which case they're still alive and it's 16 games and double the scenarios).


my head hurts
 
bug03
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Originally posted by NiborRis
Okay, ran a little script to look at how many wins it's going to take to get into Zeta playoffs.
Right now the 11 teams in contention have 22 games remaining between them, for just under 4.2 million scenarios.
In 8640 cases, it will take 10 wins to make the playoffs.
In 11,772 cases, at least one 7-9 team will make the playoffs.
More surprising to me is that there are a LOT of scenarios where 8 wins will make it - I figured 9 was going to be the minimum for sure.
9 wins: 2,257,345 scenarios (54%)
8 wins: 1,916,547 scenarios (46%)
Now, those %s don't mean much unless you're assuming each game outcome is equally likely (and they aren't) but still seems like a lot of paths for an 8-8 team to get in.

Because of that, I'm actually re-running this with the Revolution in the mix and their game against Korb (8.3 million scenarios) - I expect that will erase almost all of the 7-win cases.

I'll look at it again after today's games, which knocks it down to 15 games and just 32,768 scenarios (unless the Revolution win today, in which case they're still alive and it's 16 games and double the scenarios).


I have to say that your posts are A+ every fucking time...
 
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