I think the variance in scores is completely acceptable.
Your AI does not pre-determine every play... there are SO many variables on the field that any game could go either way.
Every team in this league has had games that were close that shouldn't have been, and games that weren't that should have.
There's no telling any time we take the field, all we can do as coaches is get our team in the best position to make the play, and leave it to the players.
Sim has everything to do with everything, but that's life.
That's REAL life.
Anyone can win any game... usually the big time favorites win, but upsets do happen.
It's March Madness baby, what a way to start it off!
http://rivals.yahoo.com/ncaa/basketball/blog/the_dagger/post/The-10-biggest-NCAA-tournament-upsets-of-the-dec?urn=ncaab,205760