Originally posted by BullFrogOnNet
Originally posted by The Strategy Expert
This doesnt address my question of what if an NFL team had to play a 3 game series, do those 2nd and 3rd games not qualify for "winning when it matters most"?
And I'm the biggest football fan on the planet. It's possible to tie me, but you can't beat me on that. 
They would since if you didn't win them yhou wouldn't win the series. What are you getting at?LOL because you said what's important is performing when it counts, so if those games count just as much as the first one, then logically IF we took 2 scenarios, one with a 1 game Super Bowl and 1 with a 3 game Super Bowl, dont' both of them meet the qualifications of your requirements since they all matter and the players care and have to do it when it counts? Your answer above says yes.
Now, since we established yes to that, IF we have those 2 sets, and you had to determine say the NFC champion that won 2/3 and an AFC champion that won 1/3, wouldn't you say that statisically it is more probable that the NFC champion was a better team than their opponent as compared to the AFC champion versus there opponent?
Before you answer, let me add AFC and NFC are just name variables, in this hypothetical we assume both conferences are exactly equal and let's say we have 4 very close quality teams of which none are discernibly better than any other in your opinion.
This now means that the team that won the 1 game could have just had a statistically lucky break that the coin hit heads instead of tails, whereas the team that won a large series has more validity to winning the battle due to the larger sample size.
If the NYG played the Patriots one million times, wouldnt all of those matter when they count, dont they all count? Well if one game counts less, by what factor does it count less? 1 million? Either way it all balances out, but statistically you have more data to work from.
If Team A wins a series 842,352 to the Team B's 158,648, wouldnt you say that the first team is better than the 2nd team with more certainty than another hypothetical example of Team A beating Team B in a 1-0 shootout?
To me, that 1-0 could be chance luck and have not necessarily been the better team, but if a team can crush another team in a 1M game series by winning an extra nearly 700,000 games, to me that is VERY significant given the sample size of who is the better team.
I will say that out of 400 champions in the last 100 years of the 4 main sports, you'd be lucky to find 100 times that the best team won, it would possibly be less than 100. It's just not practical for the very best team on day 1 to defeat a field in professional sports due to statistical chance and luck that can circumvent skill and talent and being the best team in terms of their overall abilities.