End of regular season update.
Build StatusStrength 31
Speed 51
Agility 72
Jumping 53
Stamina 34
Vision 37
Confidence 35
Catching 54
Carrying 26
Possession
4-6-3-3-3
Speedster
4-3-2-0-1
Next Points going to:Stamina>50, Strength to 40Regular Season Stats (761 plays)Receiving16 games, 96 receptions, 4 drops, 936yds (58.5y/g), 3.2YAC, 12 TD
Micellaneous11BrTk, 6 Pancakes
Team Notes15-1 Record, Pass 38.4 Att/G (71.5% completion, 27TD, 8INT), Rush 35.4 R/G
Where things standFirstly, after discussion during the season, I think it worth specifying that this is a possession leaning agility build, not a speedster leaning agility build. As such, this isn't the concrete evidence of anything as regards the theory, it's just one example of making the build and analysis of the results it threw out.
Secondly, as far as things against the evidence this example provides, it should be noted this is a balanced offence on a team that is very strong for it's league. It specialises in a tidy medium/short passing game, and is using a agi(50/70)/bal.(70/70)/speed(75/55) trio of WR (in that order), so allow for some adjustment for these factors.
Strengths of the build-Between about 20yds and 6 yds out, the build has a very high success rate on passes. I have no idea why, but there appears to be several routes where this proves true. Below 6yds we run so can't comment, but as soon as we hit the red zone, effectiveness rises.
Last game TD passes;
http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=152748&pbp_id=9741137http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=152748&pbp_id=9741325-It was suggested that the build would have seperation issues. I'm about ready to call this idea dead. 1 reception for every 8 plays isn't a bad average for a WR on a balanced offence. I'd comment that improvements to jumping and catching have greatly improved reliability have improved the underneath stuff drastically (see example below) and the busrt of agility seems to give decent seperation.
http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=152748&pbp_id=9739079Over the top on deeper passes, there is however still issues with seperation as expected, and i'll admit this is something i'm still working on as a build. The main issue seems to be the passes going astray or just being beyond reach, but it's getting better as i've worked catching up from 45 to 55.
The usual incompletions, seem to be less WR related
http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=152748&pbp_id=9742026-The build has a high reception per target ratio. 96 receptions and 4 drops speaks for itself. The drops have been almost entirely WR error in 2 cases, bad throws in 2 cases, and seem somewhat random. They are primarily in big wins, but are earlier in those games, so not related to winding down.
http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=152556&pbp_id=1234496http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=152616&pbp_id=4143061http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=152572&pbp_id=5216012http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=152748&pbp_id=9738231Weaknesses of the build-This build offers little to no deep threat, except where a tackle is broken. If you need to score rapidly, it's not really a helpful build. It is very much a time management build.
-The builds lack of speed makes pick sixes a viable concern. If there is an INT, it will most likely go for a return TD. Thankfully they are few and far between.
http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=196518&pbp_id=8088434http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=152748&pbp_id=9738926-The current build gives up PD frequently, although the majority of them seem to be on the occassional longer passes i've been trying. About 1 in 6 passes will be PD over the season, but good CB have been close to 1 in 3, or 1 in 4. I have a suspicion improving strength will help this somewhat, and there have been improvements recently in test scrims in terms of reducing PD.
First Season ConclusionsIt's been a very solid first season with the build, and i've like what i'm seeing, but the lack of strong opponents makes me wonder about the veracity of the data. In tougher games production has been more solid since our ROT boosted, and stopped letting DEs reach our QB, so i'm hopeful, but as yet it's too early to give a definite answer. If anything, production has been better when we've been beat on, as when heavily targetted, the WR racks up constant yards chasing a game, but with cruise control who knows why this is for certain.
Next season should give better data after the reshuffle, and we have the playoffs ahead so i'll get to try a few more things yet with the build. It has been by no means a revelation as of yet, but i've seen enough to make me want to continue pushing the build for another season.