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Forum > Pro Leagues > World League Survivor - Season 18 - Win Flex
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Originally posted by ryan_grant-25
and why does he expect somebody to look back at previous picks to find his pick... make a new post... that is how everybody else does it..


Maybe he is not a follower but a leader.
Edited by Border Runners on Oct 10, 2010 16:56:04
 
avwjase
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Originally posted by ryan_grant-25
the only reason first timers are still around is because they take sure things every week... but that wont work much longer.


Isn't that the smart way to bet? Take the sure thing when it's there. I take the surest pick I can find every single week that also fits into a longterm view. It appears only once before has this contest went to the Conference Title game so I figure that it's more of a "who can make it through the regular season and leave himself with a couple of decent picks in the playoffs."

Personally, I'd feel pretty stupid if I came out of the gates picking longshots and got eliminated in the early going while leaving some "easy picks" on the board. I'm just saying. Besides, I still have 3 of the top 4 and 6 of the top 8 left in the Zeta and 2 of the top 4 and 5 of the top 8 left in Alpha and it's week 10. While still having 4 of the bottom 8 teams (out of 32) to still pick against. So, this first timer likes where he's sitting. Wish I had kept Honolulu for the playoffs but I pay little attention to the World League and didn't know enough about them to know they'd be the team I wanted to keep for a sure playoff pick. That's the only pick I feel I wasted because I was down to that one and Kai over the Smurfs. I think I'd rather have Honolulu in my hip pocket right now than Kai. Oh well.
 
HERO
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Well, it was fun while it lasted... I lost internet connection for two days and missed my pick. Good luck to the rest of you guys.
 
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Originally posted by Border Runners
Originally posted by ryan_grant-25

and why does he expect somebody to look back at previous picks to find his pick... make a new post... that is how everybody else does it..


Maybe he is not a follower but a leader.


well the funny thing is, abstract actuary is running this, and he enters everything into a spreadsheet... so he has all these picks logged. what you need to do to keep track of everyone personally doesnt actually matter, even if you have named yourself WL hall monitor.
 
ryan_grant-25
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Originally posted by Rusty Trombone
Originally posted by Border Runners

Originally posted by ryan_grant-25


and why does he expect somebody to look back at previous picks to find his pick... make a new post... that is how everybody else does it..


Maybe he is not a follower but a leader.


well the funny thing is, abstract actuary is running this, and he enters everything into a spreadsheet... so he has all these picks logged. what you need to do to keep track of everyone personally doesnt actually matter, even if you have named yourself WL hall monitor.


i dont think he was on after he posted his pick... or before he edited...
 
Narsil
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Thanks, AA, for running this. It's just a silly little game, but a whole lot of people have a whole lot of fun playing it. Hats off to you, sir, for investing the time for our enjoyment.

And thanks to everyone who donates to the prize.
 
Stray Doug
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Originally posted by Stray Doug
Week 1: District 9 Prawns over Village Dogs
Week 2: Royal Blue Drunken Smurfs of Funkalicious Labatt over St. John's Salty Dogs
Week 3: Gunny's Highway Recon Platoon over Emmaus Fighting Green Hornets
Week 4: Hali of Fame over Nairobi Warthogs
Week 5: Warsaw Wrath over Monowi Wowi
Week 6: Midwest Masterminds over Mayan Marauders
Week 7: NBA Jam Arcade over Chicago Hedgehogs
Week 8: SoCal BDC over Algoma Hugo Reefers
Week 9: Chocolate Blaze over Brazilian Dirty Sanchez

Week 10: Saigon Whores over Cypriot Freedom

 
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Originally posted by avwjase
Isn't that the smart way to bet? Take the sure thing when it's there. I take the surest pick I can find every single week that also fits into a longterm view. It appears only once before has this contest went to the Conference Title game so I figure that it's more of a "who can make it through the regular season and leave himself with a couple of decent picks in the playoffs."

Personally, I'd feel pretty stupid if I came out of the gates picking longshots and got eliminated in the early going while leaving some "easy picks" on the board. I'm just saying. Besides, I still have 3 of the top 4 and 6 of the top 8 left in the Zeta and 2 of the top 4 and 5 of the top 8 left in Alpha and it's week 10. While still having 4 of the bottom 8 teams (out of 32) to still pick against. So, this first timer likes where he's sitting. Wish I had kept Honolulu for the playoffs but I pay little attention to the World League and didn't know enough about them to know they'd be the team I wanted to keep for a sure playoff pick. That's the only pick I feel I wasted because I was down to that one and Kai over the Smurfs. I think I'd rather have Honolulu in my hip pocket right now than Kai. Oh well.


After three seasons of doing just that--trying to be cute and take a close one just to "save" the easy picks--I had yet to survive Week 3. This year, my strategy has been "try to avoid getting knocked out at all costs" and it's left me in the top .5% of entries. You tell me which strategy works better.
 
byrongame21
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Originally posted by BaseballGuyCAA
After three seasons of doing just that--trying to be cute and take a close one just to "save" the easy picks--I had yet to survive Week 3. This year, my strategy has been "try to avoid getting knocked out at all costs" and it's left me in the top .5% of entries. You tell me which strategy works better.


Somewhere in the middle
 
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Alright, this is a tough situation. Ultimately, I'm going to have to eliminate PowersConnection. I hope I'm not eliminating a competitor who should be still alive.

A little more detail. If this was his only post with a pick in it, it would be a cut and dry case. I would have to eliminate him, unless I was around to verify that there were no shenanigans. But what made this difficult is that he had an old post with the same set of picks in it. That same fact is what also makes the post suspicious. The final post ended up having the same week 9 and week 10 picks as his prior post. If that is the case, why did it require a post in the first place? And why did it require edits? Presumably because he changed his plan and made a different pick.

Either way, I don't like having to made this type of ruling and the easiest way for everyone to avoid it is to not edit your posts with picks in it after the deadline. I'm sorry, PowersConnection if you're being eliminated for an honest mistake. I invite you to continue making picks (or keep your previous plan) so that once you miss another pick we will all be able to sleep more easily.
 
ryan_grant-25
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Originally posted by Abstract Actuary
Alright, this is a tough situation. Ultimately, I'm going to have to eliminate PowersConnection. I hope I'm not eliminating a competitor who should be still alive.

A little more detail. If this was his only post with a pick in it, it would be a cut and dry case. I would have to eliminate him, unless I was around to verify that there were no shenanigans. But what made this difficult is that he had an old post with the same set of picks in it. That same fact is what also makes the post suspicious. The final post ended up having the same week 9 and week 10 picks as his prior post. If that is the case, why did it require a post in the first place? And why did it require edits? Presumably because he changed his plan and made a different pick.

Either way, I don't like having to made this type of ruling and the easiest way for everyone to avoid it is to not edit your posts with picks in it after the deadline. I'm sorry, PowersConnection if you're being eliminated for an honest mistake. I invite you to continue making picks (or keep your previous plan) so that once you miss another pick we will all be able to sleep more easily.


i am already sleeping easily, it is the right decision... i know i didnt mess up.

edit: on my updated list of who is still alive i mean
Edited by ryan_grant-25 on Oct 10, 2010 21:25:53
 
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Final week 9 picks.

Week 9 Picks 83 participants remain, 10 without a pick
70Chevelle -- Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
Amboy Duke -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
Aurorasdad -- None
avwjase -- Chocolate Blaze over Brazilian Dirty Sanchez
BarySanders -- Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
BaseballGuyCAA -- Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
bballer13333 -- Algoma Hugo Reefers over Cypriot Freedom
Bevo05 -- Semarang Red Bulls over Warsaw Wrath
Bevo53 -- None
Big Marc -- Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
Border Runners -- Hali of Fame over NBA Jam Arcade
BP -- Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
B-T-A -- Semarang Red Bulls over Warsaw Wrath
byrongame21 -- Mayan Prophecy over Gunny Highway's Recon Platoon
callmedoc1 -- Chocolate Blaze over Brazilian Dirty Sanchez
cjx -- Midwest Masterminds over Royal Blue Drunken Smurfs of Funkalicious Labatt
coreyls18 -- None
DAWG -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
Doonhamer -- Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
Dustin Diamond -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
Dustin. -- Mayan Prophecy over Gunny Highway's Recon Platoon
flarsten -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
fogie55 -- Semarang Red Bulls over Warsaw Wrath
fool -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
godgib -- Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
GP1 -- Midwest Masterminds over Royal Blue Drunken Smurfs of Funkalicious Labatt
greenjizz -- None
gRryNn -- The Osaka Buckeyes over Mayan Mauraders
Guru44 -- None
HaplosDog -- Mayan Prophecy over Gunny Highway's Recon Platoon
HERO -- None
Iahwk64 -- None
Iversen -- Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
jdbolick -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
jpjn94 -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
jtserb -- Mayan Prophecy over Gunny Highway's Recon Platoon
juggernaut56 -- Hali of Fame over NBA Jam Arcade
JWAZ -- Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
Kathris -- Algoma Hugo Reefers over Cypriot Freedom
kozyra -- Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
kswass -- Midwest Masterminds over Royal Blue Drunken Smurfs of Funkalicious Labatt
kswetnam -- Semarang Red Bulls over Warsaw Wrath
kurieg -- Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
Lan22 -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
lucky_eagle_13 -- None
madlb41 -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
marioman -- Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
mikekile -- Semarang Red Bulls over Warsaw Wrath
Mordaloch -- The Osaka Buckeyes over Mayan Mauraders
nakedpanic -- Semarang Red Bulls over Warsaw Wrath
NThisTogether -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
Otega -- Mayan Prophecy over Gunny Highway's Recon Platoon
OtisDriftwood -- Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
P@nda -- Algoma Hugo Reefers over Cypriot Freedom
PowersConnection -- None
Preschooler05 -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
punkaweedus -- Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
rabideasterbunny -- Algoma Hugo Reefers over Cypriot Freedom
reddogrw -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
risico -- Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
Ronnie Brown 23 -- Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
rstang07 -- Semarang Red Bulls over Warsaw Wrath
Rusty Trombone -- Semarang Red Bulls over Warsaw Wrath
scottmac -- Semarang Red Bulls over Warsaw Wrath
seahawk10 -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
SErebel11 -- Monowi Wowi over Emmaus Fighting Green Hornets
Shalubis -- Midwest Masterminds over Royal Blue Drunken Smurfs of Funkalicious Labatt
sigepmagicmike -- Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
spindoctor02 -- The Osaka Buckeyes over Mayan Mauraders
Stray Doug -- Chocolate Blaze over Brazilian Dirty Sanchez
Tdotter -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
Thundercat_12 -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
thunderdoozer -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
timpjynx -- Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
twong1987 -- Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
UCLABUCSFAN -- Semarang Red Bulls over Warsaw Wrath
ufshowboat -- Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
Veracocha -- Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
VolBrian -- The Osaka Buckeyes over Mayan Mauraders
Wasted Memory -- Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
wessimo -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
xblica -- So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
YehBlitz -- None
Edited by Abstract Actuary on Oct 10, 2010 21:30:55
 
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47 83 Pick
L 18 So Cal BDC over Nairobi Warthogs
W 11 Carthage Mad Clash over Stewart Ballers
W 11 Saigon Whores over Chicago Hedgehogs
L 10 None
L 10 Semarang Red Bulls over Warsaw Wrath
W 5 Mayan Prophecy over Gunny Highway's Recon Platoon
L 4 Algoma Hugo Reefers over Cypriot Freedom
L 4 Midwest Masterminds over Royal Blue Drunken Smurfs of Funkalicious Labatt
W 4 The Osaka Buckeyes over Mayan Mauraders
W 3 Chocolate Blaze over Brazilian Dirty Sanchez
W 2 Hali of Fame over NBA Jam Arcade
L 1 Monowi Wowi over Emmaus Fighting Green Hornets
 
Otega
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Uh abstract, you have week 9 picks on that list my friend.
 
byrongame21
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Edited by byrongame21 on Oct 11, 2010 05:43:19
 
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