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Boozer
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so anyway....

ALPHA


1. Orlando
http://glb.warriorgeneral.com/game/team.pl?team_id=963

- in. #1 seed if they win out

Key games remaining: mayan and Laos both needs the wins badly

2. Odessa
-http://glb.warriorgeneral.com/game/team.pl?team_id=6577
in. still favorite to win alpha conference imo

3. Polk
http://glb.warriorgeneral.com/game/team.pl?team_id=7
in at #3. can make big noise in seedings and demotion. Some of S46 WL look, can be determined by Polk in the next 2 games. Nothing to lose except seeding. they have a game to give before losing #3 spot

Key games remaining: Mice, hogs

4.Mice
http://glb.warriorgeneral.com/game/team.pl?team_id=1288
yep missed em earlier gbor, my bad. Things would have to go terribly wrong for mice to miss the playoffs. but stranger things have happened. that BDS game 16 might be something more than for seeding if so.

Key games remaining: Polk, Brazil

5. HHWC - http://glb.warriorgeneral.com/game/team.pl?team_id=1509
i think they win out and make it.

Key games remaining: at OFG


6. Dirty Sanchez
http://glb.warriorgeneral.com/game/team.pl?team_id=7419

Smoke and Mirrors lol, Dirty Sanchez is in barring a loss to the 0-14 Northwood trojans

Key games remaining: at Mice

7. Laos
http://glb.warriorgeneral.com/game/team.pl?team_id=4907 -
idk man, probly in, took the L vs HHWC. getting tight. they have some key wins/tiebreaks. Should win vs presidents but game 15 vs OPT

Key games remaining: OPT


8. Mayan warriors
http://glb.warriorgeneral.com/game/team.pl?team_id=4405
- maybe need to beat Orlando to stay in, but may back in to #8 seed with some help and a win over java Brewers. Entirely possible

Key games remaining: OPT

8a. OFG
http://glb.warriorgeneral.com/game/team.pl?team_id=126

--battling like hell for a spot, but HHWC in game 16.

Key games remaining: HHWC

Need a miracle

Hogs
Monks


zeta coming

1. Carthage
#1. 14-0 ProTourney Gold game vs Indy in the next few days. should be interesting to see if one team wants to win it or save it for later. or maybe it plays out with whats in there. if somebody has the confidence or cares in the pro Tourney. an all DS WL final is possible, but nobody on the Gurupies wants to see it. good stuff comin. carthage doesnt have 6 titles like Odessa does

2.Indy Gurupies

the evil ORG still taking care of Biz with its top team. playing for Touney Gold again in a few days vs DS. look as good as ever

3. Oakland

in at 3 or 4. if any higher seeds are going to open up, Indy will have to lose to Chico or burnside


3a. Morning Glory

see above

in, but losses to the frontrunners

dont even know after this, i leave this one to the other thread. here is how I would rank who is getting in

5. Miami
6. santorini
7.OFOTD

8. chico
8a. benitos
8b. LOLBAR



Good Luck to all

Edited by Boozer on Jan 18, 2015 02:07:20
Edited by Boozer on Jan 18, 2015 02:06:23
Edited by Boozer on Jan 18, 2015 01:59:26
Edited by Boozer on Jan 18, 2015 01:56:16
Edited by Boozer on Jan 18, 2015 01:55:09
 
WiSeIVIaN
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Mayans loss to Java is lolz.

*edit2* Hedgehogs need to win and they are in, assuming a Mayan loss to OPT (almost certain)
Edited by WiSeIVIaN on Jan 19, 2015 17:15:49
Edited by WiSeIVIaN on Jan 19, 2015 17:11:35
 
Sonic
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Originally posted by WiSeIVIaN
Mayans loss to Java is lolz.

*edit2* Hedgehogs need to win and they are in, assuming a Mayan loss to OPT (almost certain)


Not necessarily.

It will be HHWC, OFC and Mayan if HHWC beat OFG and Mayan beat Orlando. That's if Hedgehogs lose to Polk and Laos beat Presidents. I think that's right with the head to heads.

I don't see Laos losing, but hey, you never know. Just ask Mayan.

But if Mayan lose, Hedgehogs lose, it will be Laos, OFC and HHWC.
Mayan lose, Hedgehogs win, I still see it as Laos, OFC and HHWC.

This all changes if OFC beats HHWC as I think it will be between Mayan or Hedgehogs who go through. I think Mayan.

Bah, it's all so twisty!
Edited by Sonic on Jan 19, 2015 18:12:14
Edited by Sonic on Jan 19, 2015 18:11:02
 
WiSeIVIaN
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Originally posted by Sonic

Mayan lose, Hedgehogs win, I still see it as Laos, OFC and HHWC.


I flip flopped a little, but I'm 99% sure I have it right, and the above is incorrect.

If Mayan loses and Hedgehogs win, even of HHWC beats OFG we are left with OFG, Hedgehogs, Laos, and HHW all with 9-7 records for the 6th-9th spots.

Keep in mind once you have a multi-way tie, each team head-to-head no longer matters, what matters is...

#1 Record vs other teams in the tie.
#2 Points allowed.

This is why the current 4-way tie at 8-7 has HHW higher than the Hedgehogs, because we are both 1-2 vs the tied teams, and the fact that the Hedgehogs won straight up is no longer relevant, they've allowed 2 less points so they win points allowed for higher seed.

If HHWC beats OFG It would be HHWC and OFG taking the 6/7 seeds since they are 2-1 vs the group. However Laos and Hedgehogs are both 1-2, but Hedgehogs have allowed ~150 less points. Hedgehogs get 8 seed.

Originally posted by Sonic
This all changes if OFC beats HHWC as I think it will be between Mayan or Hedgehogs who go through. I think Mayan.


If Hedgehogs wins and Mayan/HHWC lose its real simple Hedgehogs get 8 seed since we are 9-7 and they are both 8-8.

If we are talking about the event of all 3 teams losing, Mayan gets the 8th seed at 8-8 since they are 2-0 vs that grouping.

Summary
So, Mayan and HHWC completely control their own destiny. Win and they are in. Hedgehogs control their own destiny if Mayan loses (likely but not certain). If HHWC or Hedgehogs lose, they give up the playoff spot to Laos. If both lose, Mayan gets even with a loss at 8-8 on the backdoor cover.

Kinda funny, 3 teams control their own destiny's, OFG is free-rolling, Hedgehogs just need a Mayan loss, and Laos needs the most help with a Mayan loss along with either HHW Hedgehogs.

#ijustwentcrazy
 
Sonic
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I had a feeling that H-H was too simple a way of this being looked at.

And to think that this is only Alpha that we are talking about. Zeta has just as deep play-off fight too.

This is one of the tightest finishes to the regular season in a while. I'm looking forward to round 16!
Edited by Sonic on Jan 19, 2015 20:17:36
 
yomanpopo
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We shit the bed against Java. We had to win. I don't see anyway we get in with another loss (which we will unless we get a sim that screws OPT

I can't follow tiebreakers
 
DarkRogue
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Originally posted by yomanpopo
We shit the bed against Java. We had to win. I don't see anyway we get in with another loss (which we will unless we get a sim that screws OPT

I can't follow tiebreakers


You guys don't match up with OPT well at all, you can't tackle and they have a brutal rushing attack. Better luck next season?
 
cubsluver22
kiss the .gif
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Originally posted by DarkRogue
You guys don't match up with OPT well at all, you can't tackle and they have a brutal rushing attack. Better luck next season?


With day 440 day old dots in Pro
 
DarkRogue
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Originally posted by Sonic
I had a feeling that H-H was too simple a way of this being looked at.

And to think that this is only Alpha that we are talking about. Zeta has just as deep play-off fight too.

This is one of the tightest finishes to the regular season in a while. I'm looking forward to round 16!


Yeah it's been crazy, LOLBAR has gone from pretty much dead at 4-7 to being in control of our own destiny once again.
 
gbororats
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Originally posted by cubsluver22
With day 440 day old dots in Pro


Again, you can finish in 11th place with 4 wins and stay in wl...
 
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Originally posted by DarkRogue
you can't tackle and they have a brutal rushing attack.


Our biggest issue by a mile

 
TrevJo
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Has the season started yet?
 
AlBarsch
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idk, I really haven't followed Alpha much this season, yet I'd be nervous if I was OFG - HHWC is on a mission from God

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-4YrCFz0Kfc

 
yomanpopo
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Originally posted by DarkRogue
You guys don't match up with OPT well at all, you can't tackle and they have a brutal rushing attack. Better luck next season?


Receipe for disaster
 
Sonic
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Bah, 25 minutes until we know one way or another who makes it and who doesn't.
Edited by Sonic on Jan 21, 2015 16:36:01
 
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