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Forum > USA BBB Leagues > USA BBB #16 > BBB #16 Final Standing Predictions
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tomcollins
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Originally posted by jtnewin
Originally posted by tomcollins

Originally posted by jtnewin


Tom no love for the Sublime? Our schedule favors us to make a nice run. Our 3 losses were by a combined 8 points to do our qb play. We just took care of that. I think we will make the playoffs, but you never know.


Spreadsheet is at home, but I'll have to look at it again. The East has a lot of solid teams, top to bottom. You still have to play Naperville, Crimson, Columbus, and Maine. You do benefit from an automatic win against the gutted Concord team. You'll also have a few decent teams left that are close to you.

I'll have to look at the sheet again, it very well could be you are 1 point dogs in 4/5 games, which means on average you'd still win a few of those. On the other hand, you may be a small favorite over a few teams that might upset you.


Tom you know i appreciate your work. Just messinng with ya!


The sad thing is, I think almost any team in the East would have a good shot at the playoffs in a different BBB league. Look at the matchup between Martha's and the 8th place team in #15 BBB league.

http://goallineblitz.com/game/compare_teams.pl?team1=1740&team2=1782
 
intoxxx
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2-14 looks good compared to where we started at this season, it's good to see we played some hard teams already as well.
 
tomcollins
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After week 6:

West:

1 EZ COMPANY 16 0
2 Las Vegas Criminal Element 15 1
3 Minnesota Fire 14 2
4 Fresno Snakes 12 4
5 SNK Crushers 12 4
6 Tallahassee Tigers 11 5
7 New Jersey Nighthawks 10 6
8 Tijuana Gutter Bass 8 8
9 Lauderdale Titans 7 9
10 Texas Teabaggers 6 10
11 Laurier Golden Hawks 6 10
12 San Francisco Gold Rush 6 10
13 Colorado Mustangs 3 13
14 Oakland Turtles 2 14
15 Concord Skyhawks 1 15
16 Hawaii Revolution 0 16


East:

1 Crimson Marauders 16 0
2 Columbus Woodys 14 2
3 Indianapolis Rush 13 3
4 Naperville Neanderthals 11 5
5 Milwaukee Beermen 11 5
6 New Orleans Poison 10 6
7 New York Launch 10 6
8 Maine Hawks 10 6
9 Sin City Sublime 7 9
10 Pittsburgh Devils 7 9
11 Cleveland Buckeyes 6 10
12 St. Louis Cheetahs 5 11
13 Detroit Mob 3 13
14 New York Mustangs 3 13
15 Martha's Vineyard Ballbusters 2 14
16 Red River Chiefs 0 16

I think there is a bug in it if it predicts a tie. It counts that as a loss. That is why too many teams have losses.
Last edited Jun 23, 2008 12:26:33
 
Jerry Maguire
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Cool. We are halfway to our predicted win total.
 
Silvablitz
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sick finally in a playoff spot
 
damnedin82
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The sad thing is, I think almost any team in the East would have a good shot at the playoffs in a different BBB league. Look at the matchup between Martha's and the 8th place team in #15 BBB league.

http://goallineblitz.com/game/compare_teams.pl?team1=1740&team2=1782




Ca I ask you how you did the "compare teams" matchup?


Thank you,




 
hntrr31
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Originally posted by tomcollins
Anyone interested in seeing the predictions of particular games, let me know.



I'd like to see the 3 wins. lol.

Any close games or possible upsets I should watch for?

Colorado Mustangs here Tom.


Great stuff btw; thanks!
 
piiyb_i_will
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Originally posted by tomcollins
After week 6:

West:

1 EZ COMPANY 16 0
2 Las Vegas Criminal Element 15 1
3 Minnesota Fire 14 2
4 Fresno Snakes 12 4
5 SNK Crushers 12 4
6 Tallahassee Tigers 11 5
7 New Jersey Nighthawks 10 6
8 Tijuana Gutter Bass 8 8
9 Lauderdale Titans 7 9
10 Texas Teabaggers 6 10
11 Laurier Golden Hawks 6 10
12 San Francisco Gold Rush 6 10
13 Colorado Mustangs 3 13
14 Oakland Turtles 2 14
15 Concord Skyhawks 1 15
16 Hawaii Revolution 0 16


East:

1 Crimson Marauders 16 0
2 Columbus Woodys 14 2
3 Indianapolis Rush 13 3
4 Naperville Neanderthals 11 5
5 Milwaukee Beermen 11 5
6 New Orleans Poison 10 6
7 New York Launch 10 6
8 Maine Hawks 10 6
9 Sin City Sublime 7 9
10 Pittsburgh Devils 7 9
11 Cleveland Buckeyes 6 10
12 St. Louis Cheetahs 5 11
13 Detroit Mob 3 13
14 New York Mustangs 3 13
15 Martha's Vineyard Ballbusters 2 14
16 Red River Chiefs 0 16

I think there is a bug in it if it predicts a tie. It counts that as a loss. That is why too many teams have losses.


lol wtf @ that formula anyways? we are 4 and 2 and it is predicting us to lose 9 out of our last 10 games???
 
tomcollins
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Originally posted by piiyb_i_will

lol wtf @ that formula anyways? we are 4 and 2 and it is predicting us to lose 9 out of our last 10 games???


Read one of the first posts where I linked it. It uses points scored, points against, and who you have played.

I think there is a bug in it for adding the reuslts, and I'll check when I get home with your team in particular.

You guys have 6 very tough games coming up, and a few teams that aren't exactly pushovers. Your 4 wins are by very small margins over the bottom tier teams in the conference, with the exception of Sin City.

Teams you are underdogs to: Columbus, Indianapolis, Maine, Milwaukee, New York, Tallahassee

Teams that match up close to even with you: Pittsburgh, New Orleans, Cleveland

Teams you should be favorites to beat: Detroit.

Looks like the numbers put you as an underdog to Cleveland as well.
 
shadow46x2
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Originally posted by piiyb_i_will

lol wtf @ that formula anyways? we are 4 and 2 and it is predicting us to lose 9 out of our last 10 games???


try winning a game against someone who isn't in the cellar

--j
 
riccor25
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Tom does your formula account for the fact that TJ beat Seattle and not Concord?
 
tomcollins
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Originally posted by riccor25
Tom does your formula account for the fact that TJ beat Seattle and not Concord?


No. I changed the score of that game to 100-0 and it didn't change anything for you, though.
 
jearly
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Originally posted by Snackman Jones


By the way the only player that i'm actually dreading that i have to play him is Gunner Mick he has an excellent QB build and will only get better by the time we get to his our game


what? That dude is fricken awful.. Just horrible. Worst build I've ever seen.
Last edited Jun 23, 2008 20:51:11
 
hntrr31
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Originally posted by stahu miguel
Originally posted by tomcollins

Anyone interested in seeing the predictions of particular games, let me know.



I'd like to see the 3 wins. lol.

Any close games or possible upsets I should watch for?

Colorado Mustangs here Tom.


Great stuff btw; thanks!


Dammit Tom, are you my wife?

Quit ignoring me.
 
kegdrinker
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Originally posted by jearly
Originally posted by Snackman Jones



By the way the only player that i'm actually dreading that i have to play him is Gunner Mick he has an excellent QB build and will only get better by the time we get to his our game


what? That dude is fricken awful.. Just horrible. Worst build I've ever seen.


im surprized we didn't mention our super weapons (frogs)
 
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