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Forum > North American Pro League > USA Conference > Anybody wish to run an Excel based, score powered Projection for USA Leagues?
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Shagg
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Originally posted by brigmar
Took FOREVER to get the info in:

Projections for Week 7:

Intimidators 23-14 Globetrotters
Marauders 63-0 Destroyers
Dump Trucks 38-19 Daggers
Bucks 8-21 Extreme
Saints 25-18 Spartans
Brute Squad 55-6 Just Go Krazy
Bullies 10-17 Superbowlers
Athletics 23-9 Supernovas
Destroyers 0-63 Marauders

Bulldogs 26-36 Skyhawks
Mustangs 154-0 Gearheads
Juggernauts 2-28 Pushovers
Coyotes 115-3 Blazers
Warriors 18-44 Nasty
Warpath 42-3 Firefox
Bullets 38-13 Sabercats
Demon Lions 49-6 Wildcats



Damn fine job brigmar
 
hud
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holy cow. this needs its own thread.

It will be sweet to see how satchmo did.
 
Shagg
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Originally posted by hud
holy cow. this needs its own thread.

It will be sweet to see how satchmo did.


gotta agree with you hud it does need it's own thread an incredible piece of work there.
 
brigmar
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Where's the RPI thread ?
 
Dope
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Some Awesome Vegas lines right there:

I'll take:
Globetrotters +9 ***WRONG***
Destroyers +63 ***WRONG***
DumpTrucks -19 ***CORRECT***
Extreme -13 ***WRONG***
Spartans +7 ***WRONG***
Krazy +49 ***CORRECT***
Bullies +7 ***CORRECT***
GSA -14 ***CORRECT***

Skyhawks -10 ***CORRECT***
Gearheads +154 ***CORRECT***
DLJ +26 ***CORRECT***
Coyotes -112 ***WRONG***
Nasty -26 ***WRONG***
Warpath -39 ***WRONG***
Sabercats +25 ***WRONG***
DDL -43 ***WRONG***

7-9 ATS
I'm out.
Last edited Jun 25, 2008 12:45:23
 
Shagg
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Originally posted by Dope
Some Awesome Vegas lines right there:

I'll take:
Globetrotters +9
Destroyers +63
DumpTrucks -19
Extreme -13
Spartans +7
Krazy +49
Bullies +7
GSA -14

Skyhawks -10
Gearheads +154
DLJ +26
Coyotes -112
Nasty -26
Warpath -39
Sabercats +25
DDL -43


I'll take the Nova's minus the points
 
brigmar
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The spreadsheet went 16-0 for Week 7 with some very close results:
(Marauders,Saints,Superbowlers)

Intimidators 23-14 Globetrotters (23-3)
Marauders 63-0 Destroyers (65-0)
Dump Trucks 38-19 Daggers (32-10)
Bucks 8-21 Extreme (9-15)
Saints 25-18 Spartans (26-16)
Brute Squad 55-6 Just Go Krazy (48-0)
Bullies 10-17 Superbowlers (13-17)
Athletics 23-9 Supernovas (33-3)

Bulldogs 26-36 Skyhawks (13-26)
Mustangs 154-0 Gearheads (109-0)
Juggernauts 2-28 Pushovers (0-23)
Coyotes 115-3 Blazers (56-3)
Warriors 18-44 Nasty (35-10)
Warpath 42-3 Firefox (37-0)
Bullets 38-13 Sabercats (33-3)
Demon Lions 49-6 Wildcats (40-0)
 
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Originally posted by brigmar
The spreadsheet went 16-0 for Week 7 with some very close results:
(Marauders,Saints,Superbowlers)

Intimidators 23-14 Globetrotters (23-3)
Marauders 63-0 Destroyers (65-0)
Dump Trucks 38-19 Daggers (32-10)
Bucks 8-21 Extreme (9-15)
Saints 25-18 Spartans (26-16)
Brute Squad 55-6 Just Go Krazy (48-0)
Bullies 10-17 Superbowlers (13-17)
Athletics 23-9 Supernovas (33-3)

Bulldogs 26-36 Skyhawks (13-26)
Mustangs 154-0 Gearheads (109-0)
Juggernauts 2-28 Pushovers (0-23)
Coyotes 115-3 Blazers (56-3)
Warriors 18-44 Nasty (35-10)
Warpath 42-3 Firefox (37-0)
Bullets 38-13 Sabercats (33-3)
Demon Lions 49-6 Wildcats (40-0)


Damn. I think the spread sheet cheats.
 
brigmar
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I'll have the spreadsheets' week 8 predictions soon
 
hud
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Projections vs Actual for Week 7:

Intimidators 23-14 Globetrotters
Winner: Intimidators 23-3

Marauders 63-0 Destroyers
Marauders 65-0

Dump Trucks 38-19 Daggers
DumpTrucks 32-10

Bucks 8-21 Extreme
Extreme 9-15

Saints 25-18 Spartans
Saints 26-16

Brute Squad 55-6 Just Go Krazy
Brute squad 48-0

Bullies 10-17 Superbowlers
Superbowlers 13-17

Athletics 23-9 Supernovas
Athletics 33-3

Destroyers 0-63 Marauders
Marauders 0-65

Bulldogs 26-36 Skyhawks
Skyhwaks 13-26

Mustangs 154-0 Gearheads
mustangs 109-0

Juggernauts 2-28 Pushovers
Pushovers 0-23

Coyotes 115-3 Blazers
Coyotes 56-3

Warriors 18-44 Nasty
Nasty 10-35

Warpath 42-3 Firefox
warpath 37-0

Bullets 38-13 Sabercats
Bullets 33-3

Demon Lions 49-6 Wildcats
Demon Lions 40-0


Just sick man... why even play the games. Just have Satchmo figure out some numbers. EVERY GAME WINNER WAS RIGHT, and the scores where pretty darn acurate too.
 
Toad22484
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Originally posted by hud
Projections vs Actual for Week 7:

Intimidators 23-14 Globetrotters
Winner: Intimidators 23-3

Marauders 63-0 Destroyers
Marauders 65-0

Dump Trucks 38-19 Daggers
DumpTrucks 32-10

Bucks 8-21 Extreme
Extreme 9-15

Saints 25-18 Spartans
Saints 26-16

Brute Squad 55-6 Just Go Krazy
Brute squad 48-0

Bullies 10-17 Superbowlers
Superbowlers 13-17

Athletics 23-9 Supernovas
Athletics 33-3

Destroyers 0-63 Marauders
Marauders 0-65

Bulldogs 26-36 Skyhawks
Skyhwaks 13-26

Mustangs 154-0 Gearheads
mustangs 109-0

Juggernauts 2-28 Pushovers
Pushovers 0-23

Coyotes 115-3 Blazers
Coyotes 56-3

Warriors 18-44 Nasty
Nasty 10-35

Warpath 42-3 Firefox
warpath 37-0

Bullets 38-13 Sabercats
Bullets 33-3

Demon Lions 49-6 Wildcats
Demon Lions 40-0


Just sick man... why even play the games. Just have Satchmo figure out some numbers. EVERY GAME WINNER WAS RIGHT, and the scores where pretty darn acurate too.


wowsa
 
brigmar
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Intimidators 18-16 Daggers
Marauders 29-9 Bucks
Dump Trucks 26-18 Bullies
Globetrotters 55-0 Destroyers
Extreme 18-8 Supernovas
Athletics 17-15 Saints
Superbowlers 54-3 Just Go Krazy
Brute Squad 24-9 Spartans

Warpath 75-5 Bulldogs
Mustangs 45-3 Wildcats
Demon Lions 28-5 Juggernauts
Pushovers 9-3 Coyotes
Warriors 75-14 Sabercats
Bullets 60-14 Blazers
Nasty 64-2 Firefox
Skyhawks 66-0 Gearheads

Close/good games that I'm calling:

Dump Trucks/Bullies, Extreme/Supernovas, Athletics/Saints in the West.
Pushovers/Coyotes in the East.
 
hud
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Originally posted by brigmar
Athletics 17-15 Saints


crap, are you sure you didnt put something in wrong. There goes my 1 loss season

Last edited Jun 25, 2008 12:38:20
 
Satchmo-n-Dizzy
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Thanks for all the kudos guys. Brigmar gave me a heads up about the week 7 success and I thought I'd check it out. I'm glad y'all are enjoying it.

There is one disclaimer I would like to add:

Score projections are more a measure of confidence in the result rather than the actual game score.

That doesn't mean it can't get it right, but there are many variables involved that can't be accounted for by the algorithm. Having said that, the projector hasn't even hit its stride yet.

With 5 games of data, the thing has about 40-50% of the data necessary to make accurate predictions. By the time you enter scores from game 8 or 9, the thing should really start to cook. The most amazing thing that it will likely do late in the season is pick an upset that all practical wisdom says is crazy. Then, when it proves correct, you will actually be able to hear the jaws drop.

Here's a thread from SA AA, Season 2 (the only league that was tracked throughout the season):

http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=123954&page=18

It's not earth-shattering by any means, but I enjoy the begrudged accolades given out by those that had just been beaten.
 
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So what you are telling us is you don't actually have knowledge of the future??

Booorrriing.
Last edited Jun 25, 2008 13:24:47
 
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