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Forum > North American Pro League > Canada Conference > Western Conference Playoff Outlook
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jloescher3
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I used to do this and have done it this season already for SEAPL and APL i have players there as well

(*) = pts scored tiebreaker


West

all playoff spots are locked up, only seeding can be changed

Rams - have clinched homefield throughout the west

Manitoba - have clinched 2nd rd home game

Northern - have clinched 1st rd home game

St Johns - have clinched 1st rd home game

Boyz - have clinched playoff berth

Bloodhounds - have clinched playoff berth

Mules - have clinched playoff berth

Whalers - have clinched playoff berth



East

Queen City - have clinched 2nd rd home game, can clinch homefield throughout the East w/ win OR tie OR Village lose or tie

Village - have clinched 1st rd home game, can clinch 2nd rd home game w/ win OR tie OR lose and Yellowknife and Magnificent win and (*) OR lose and Yellowknife win and Magnificent lose or tie || can clinch homefield throughout the East w/ win and Queen City lose

Yellowknife - have clinched 1st rd home game, can clinch 2nd rd home game w/ win and Village lose and Magnificent win and (*)

Magnificent - have clinched 1st rd home game, can clinch 2nd rd home game w/ win and Village lose and Yellowknife win and (*) OR win and Village lose and Yellowknife lose or tie

Providence - have clinched playoff berth

Hillsburgh - can clinch playoff berth w/ win OR tie OR lose and Newfoundland or Halifax lose or tie OR lose and Memphis lose and Newfoundland and Halifax win and (*) (2 spots w/ Memphis and Halifax)

Memphis - can clinch playoff berth w/ win OR tie OR lose and Newfoundland or Halifax lose or tie OR lose and Hillsburgh win or tie OR lose and Hillsburgh lose and Newfoundland and Halifax win and (*) (2 spots w/ Hillsburgh and Halifax)

Newfoundland - can clinch playoff berth w/ win OR tie and Halifax lose or tie OR lose and Halifax lose and Charlesburgh and Kingston win and (*) (w/ Cobden) OR lose and Halifax lose and Charlesburgh win and Kingston lose or tie OR lose and Halifax lose and Charlesburgh lose or tie and Kingston win and (*) (w/ Cobden) OR lose and Halifax lose and Charlesburgh and Kingston lose or tie

Halifax - can clinch playoff berth w/ win and Hillsburgh lose and Memphis win or tie OR win and Hillsburgh and Memphis lose and (*) (2 spots w/ Hillsburgh and Memphis) OR win and Newfoundland lose or tie OR tie and Newfoundland lose

Cobden - can clinch playoff berth w/ win and Newfoundland lose and Charlesburgh and Kingston win and (*) (w/ Newfoundland) OR win and Newfoundland lose and Charlesburgh lose or tie and Kingston win and (*) (w/ Newfoundland)

Note: a Halifax loss = a Cobden win
 
FLGator
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Originally posted by jloescher3


West

all playoff spots are locked up, only seeding can be changed

Rams - have clinched homefield throughout the west

Manitoba - have clinched 2nd rd home game

Northern - have clinched 1st rd home game

St Johns - have clinched 1st rd home game

Boyz - have clinched playoff berth

Bloodhounds - have clinched playoff berth

Mules - have clinched playoff berth

Whalers - have clinched playoff berth



Let's look at this, team-by-team to see where each will end up.

#1 is unquestionably the Kansas City Rams...undefeated through 15, they'll likely end without a loss.
#2 is locked up by the Manitoba Aftershocks...they won't lose to the Wrath and hold the tiebreaker against Northern.
#3 is locked up by the Northern Polar Bears...even if they were to lose to Tradewest, they'd hold the tiebreaker against St. John's
#4 is locked up by the St. John's Salty Dogs...they're two wins ahead of 5th with only one game to go.

Here's where it begins to get interesting. As jloescher3 identified above, we do know which four teams will make up the #5 - #8 seeds, but not where they'll fit. Here's where I predict things will end up and why.

#5 - Thunder Bay Bloodhounds (10-6) - In facing the Hornepayne Northern Railers (currently 1-14) they have the easiest game of the four remaining teams. Though they'd lose a head-to-head tiebreaker against Brooklyn, the Boyz would have to beat the Rams for them to finish tied...I don't think that'll happen. That said, they do win the head-to-head against the Mules by virtue of winning the "Battle of Thunder Bay" (30-6) back in Week 5. They'll most likely face the St. John's Salty Dogs in Round 1.

#6 - Thunder Bay Mules (10-6) ► or ◄ Tadoussac Whalers (9-7) - It's really this simple: Whichever team wins the Week 16 match-up between the Mules and Whalers lays claim to the #6 seed and will face the Northern Polar Bears in Round 1...the loser drops to #8 and will get the Kansas City Rams instead. If Thunder Bay wins, they'll have a better record than both Brooklyn and Tadoussac...but lose the tiebreaker with the Bloodhounds. If Tadoussac wins they'll share identical 9-7 records with the Boyz and Mules, but since they beat them both in the regular season they'd win the first tiebreaker.

#7 - Brooklyn Boyz (9-7) - These standings are entirely predicated on a Week 16 loss to the Rams. Should they beat Kansas City...forget everything else I've written and pencil these guys in at the #5 seed. Moving ahead with an assumed loss, they'll slot at #7 one of two ways. If Thunder Bay wins, they'll be the only team with a 9-7 record...one behind the Mules and one ahead of the Whalers. If Tadoussac wins, they'll fall behind the Whalers who beat both Brooklyn and Thunder Bay...but ahead of the Mules because of their head-to-head win. Barring an unforeseen win against the Rams...these Boyz should start getting ready to face Manitoba in Round 1.

#8 - Thunder Bay Mules (9-7) ► or ◄ Tadoussac Whalers (8-8) - Hopefully you've gotten this from the posts above. Winner of the Week 16 match-up goes to #6, loser to #8.

Now, if (a) Hornepayne upsets the Thunder Bay Bloodhounds and/or (b) the Brooklyn Boyz beat the Rams...disregard everything written. Multiple tiebreaker scenarios could come into play...
Edited by FLGator on Nov 12, 2009 09:31:42
 
Hanz
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The east is a f*cked up. So many damn teams so close and fighting for the last 3 play-off berths.

Man o man.....tough tough last game of the season.
 
jloescher3
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Originally posted by Hanz
The east is a f*cked up. So many damn teams so close and fighting for the last 3 play-off berths.

Man o man.....tough tough last game of the season.


It was nowhere near as confusing as SEAPL was.......take a look over there.....it took me a couple hours to figure those ones out
 
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