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Forum > European Pro League > Eastern Europe Conference > Randy's Season 6, Week 15 Assessment
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kmart
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Montreal has a 140 point lead on St. Pete and a 9 point lead on Minsk. Should we win out, I'd say we have a realistic shot at that #2 seed. But that being said I think we'll end up at 3 or 4.

And what is with questioning LBTs heart? This was a team that went 0-16 in EEAAA2 in season 2, only to rebound and win EE AA4 Alpha in season 4 and then play well enough in AAA2 in season 5 to get promoted over a couple of successful teams in AAA2 like the Minsk Berserkers. LBT in no way lacks heart.
 
Randy03Texags
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Zeta

Prague Punishers 13-1
Since Week 10 Prague has played two playoff teams, they have won 85-10 and all of the opponents total offense has been the following:
161.5, 109, 49.5, 18, 157.5, allowing an average of 99.1 yards per game for their opponents, but the playoff teams managed a respectable 159.5
They next two games are against two good offenses, one is a passing and one has been primarily running this season, but they were a passing team last season, so they arent fooling me , Chernobyl could be a threat, but GLB needs another season or so, but they are where Chernobyl was the first season Rezlov took over. There almost no way Prague can lose 1st place in Zeta, even if they got upset by Chernobyl as Rezlov threatens, they have scored the most points in Zeta and are likely to score a decent amount of points in their last two games.

Stalingrad Gryphon Army 12-2
Two losses this season, amazing! Prague and SGA losing to someone other than themselves, amazing! Thanks for the competition this season Zeta! But on to SGA, other than their loss to Prague, they needed a HUGE throw with 11 seconds left and then a 63yd FG to be beat, their offense is really solid. Their defense isnt the top defense this season, they are given up 350YPG which is good enough for 3rd place in Zeta, but well away from the 215 that Prague is giving up. They have two games left, one is a CPU team and they can run up some stats, but not really learn anything and then they have Dogdandy, who is a very solid team and will at least put up a fight. Realistically, SGA should be the 2nd seed, unless by some chance they lose to Dogdandy, then they have a tie with the winner of Percival and EEORG for 3rd, they lost to both of those teams, so they could drop to 4th which would make them a likely 2nd round game for Prague. Edit: They only lost to EEORG, so it could only be a tie that resulted in them losing the 2nd seed if Dogdandy was to pull a huge upset and then EEORG won out.

Lafayette Ragin Cajuns 12-2
Other than getting crushed by SGA, they have taken care of their business this season as well, Prague barely squeaked by them as LRCs defense forced a +3TO margin and kept it close, they took care of business last week with EEORG and now they have two games that they should win and finish up 14-2, pretty darn impressive. The only issue is that if they end up 2nd (with SGA loss) or 3rd (SGA wins out), they are still in SGA's bracket and have to beat the team who beat them the worst all season in order to make it to the league CCG. Of course would it be better to be in Prague's bracket? Possibly, who knows .. with the bottom of Zeta in flux as much as it is, it would be hard to predict who they have to play in the first round. They improved a lot this season and now they need to win 2 playoff games in order to show that they have improved more than their record shows.

EEORG Defectors 11-3
I cant be sure what to make of this team, they lose hard to Prague, come back to keep it tight with a Piggies team that isnt trying, then lose to Chernobyl, who is surging .. but then keep it close and upset SGA .. only to squeak one out against Greek the next week, thats a huge swing .. they must have used up their luck because then they dropped hard against LRC .. Id say that there is just a lot of sim variance, as I dont think EEORG just randomly tries to guess against their opponents, they are too good for that. They have a serious game this week against Percival and the winner of that game is 4th and the loser is 5th, does that really matter? Well I guess it matters a few million, which is like one set of extra L40 gear for someone I guess .. either way they play each other and are 4 and 5, unless of course one of them drops another game, or SGA drops to Dogdandy .. it is all possible, but I figure them ending up having to play each other in the first round is most likely and good for me, because it gets one of them out of the way .. the damned 4/5 game is hard and Im not sure I want to play EEORG or Percival, both have proven they can beat good teams and to have them as a likely 2nd round game is scary.

Percival Dungeoneers 11-3
Another team that has kept it close with everyone except SGA and they are responsible for the only loss Prague has. Similar to LRC, they forced Prague into a -3TO margin and gave their offense enough of a chance to win. They have the 2nd best defense in Zeta and are a very good team, their game against EEORG isnt a must win and its possible both teams might be playing their cards close to their chest in prep for the playoff game two weeks later. They should expect to beat Cincinnati and yeah .. again like EEORG, they will be 4/5 depending on the result of their Week 15 game. I dont really want to play this team again either, I guess thats a good sign about how good Zeta is this season.

Chernobyl Mutants 9-5
Chernobyl is certainly the surprise of the season, if they had an easier Alpha draw, they would be 10-4, but they have several solid wins, Percival, EEORG and Dogdandy. They still have games against two playoff teams, the 1st and 8th seeds. If they want to keep their momentum, they need to beat Vaadwaur .. Vaadwaur wants to save their playoff chances and has to beat Chernobyl, it should be an interesting week. If Chernobyl beats Vaadwaur, then they get Prague .. if they happen to win both, they are rewarded with .. 6th place (no change), if they lose both of those games, they could drop out the playoffs entirely. They still have 6 long term inactives, which need to be addressed before next season, but it would be a lot easier to recruit with a good showing by making the playoffs. If they stay 6th, they get LRC most likely, 7th SGA, 8th Prague .. sounds like fun!

Dogdandy Dragons 8-6
They are coming off two losses and are dropping in their seed, the loss to Prague is understandable, but did they sleep on Chernobyl, or is Chernobyl that good, or is Dogdandy that bad? They might be that bad .. they havent beat any locks for the playoffs this season, but outside of EEORG and Prague they were very very close with all the other teams and could have won 4 more games. They have Demoniak and SGA left, they should win against Demoniak, but SGA could be a real challenge. If they want to keep their chances best to stay in the playoffs, they need to beat SGA, which would cause the aforementioned mess at the top, but Dogdandy needs the game, of course if Vaadwaur loses to Chernobyl it improves Dogdandy's chances of staying in no matter what, but the Week 16 game between the two teams behind them is important to all 3 teams battling for the last 2 spots.

Vaadwaur Phoenix 8-6
Vaadwaur has games against two of the last 4 teams in Zeta and they control their own destiny, losing last week to Budapest is well .. head scratching loss last week to Budapest. They played EEORG and Percival close and its hard to tell if they are that good and could pull a big upset or if they are just not quite there. The only playoff team they beat was Dogdandy, who hasnt beaten any playoff teams. If they dont want to get thrown out of the playoffs, they have to start this week by having a close game AND winning against Chernobyl .. I guess we will see about that

Dubai Lightning 8-6
They have two winnable games to end the season and COULD get into the playoffs, they also control their destiny like Vaadwaur, though they might have an easier path than Vaadwaur. They have several inactives and a lack of depth on both sides of the ball. Their HB is one of the leading receivers this season and it looks like they are countering the run stopping defenses of most teams with quick passes to their fast HB. If they make it into the playoffs, it would likely be an 8th seed and a match with Prague, who their offense worked very well against last time, but not quite enough to win. We will have to see what their chances are after their next game with Budapest and the situation above them.

Teams that have no chance of making the playoffs

Budapest Tigers
Other than heavy losses to the Top 4 teams, they were actually pretty competitive and thats a good sign for depth in Zeta, that we have solid teams down to 10-12. As I said last time, they arent losing for a lack of effort, they just lack firepower. They also have a number of inactives which need to be replaces WITH upgrading some talent, thats pretty tough to do. Hopefully they have energy and want to really beat the pavement and get some players on their team because Zeta is going to be even more tough next season and they will have to try even harder.

GLB Gods
Im not sure if its bad tactics or chemistry, I think its some of both. Chernobyl didnt have the horses to run the ball last season and they tried to throw like GLB and also lost some games bad like GLB. They just look like they have enough talent not to get blown out like they have been, even the lower rung playoff teams are beating on them. They play Prague next and its unlikely they will win that game, but they will beat Demoniak .. possibly and end up with 5 wins, in a league where the bottom 2 are CPUs and the bottom 5 arent putting up much of a fight, so they are the best of the worst so to speak, but after taking over a team that was gutted twice in two seasons, its a pretty big improvement to win games at all and lure in elite talent, regardless of build.

Bottom Teams

Demoniak has two games left as a team, they have Dogdandy who is fighting for their playoff lives and then GLB, who might beat them if they arent careful, but Demoniak has decided to play some football here at the end of the season and its possible that they could win both of those games, they were a playoff team last season and probably could have been this season had they cared to try.

Cincinnati has too much talent to lose the way they do, but they have build and tactics issues, as usual that comes down on the management. There is a huge lack of speed on this team and thats why they have to try stupid tactics to try to win, because they cant win straight up. Again management needed outside opinions and never brought help in, probably similar to some other EE Pro teams, they were deluded by the softness of the league that their team was better than it is, if they made the playoffs, they thought that meant they had a good team that "could" just make it next season .. but thats not the case, the case is that EE Pro is soft and it hasnt taken a lot to be a playoff team most of the time in the past, if this was a typical season .. Cincinnati might have also made the playoffs, because someone had to, but with 4 new teams coming up instead of two (plus an extra gut or two), they didnt have any corpses to float on to get up to 8th.

Greek Fire
WHOA Eddie Winslow logged back in, or someone got his account info, thats big news, its also big news that bignrich cut some of Mugga's players, but Greek has a lot of holes to fill, Omerta's players still are some of the best on the team and, even though Eddie Winslow logged back in, he hasnt boosted his players. I think it will be a while before Greek can be competitive again in EE Pro .. and with even more competitive teams coming up next season, it might be best for money, RL morale and fan support if they request to be relegated so that they can rebuild and beat up on AAA for a while. Or of course there are other teams in EE Pro that could use a lot of talent, if they wanted to merge with a team and build a superteam.

Then there are the two CPU teams and

WHEEEEEEEEE WHEEEEEEEEE WHEEEEE Silesia finally ... FINALLY went CPU and wont just get relegated to AAA and pollute our whole region sliding down, but no, they will go right down to A where that mess belongs and where it should have went 3 seasons ago VICTORY!
Last edited Dec 9, 2008 15:19:24
 
Randy03Texags
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Originally posted by The Duff Man

For those that didn't see it.
http://goallineblitz.com/game/replay.pl?game_id=212760&pbp_id=9841414

Don't mess with the Thunder God.


That first one was really bad defense, but the 2nd was a good throw and good speed by the WR.

Originally posted by kmart
And what is with questioning LBTs heart? This was a team that went 0-16 in EEAAA2 in season 2, only to rebound and win EE AA4 Alpha in season 4 and then play well enough in AAA2 in season 5 to get promoted over a couple of successful teams in AAA2 like the Minsk Berserkers. LBT in no way lacks heart.


Heart to stick with it, thats all ... I guess they accomplished what they wanted, or they know that there is a glass ceiling here that they are unlikely to break with their team set up the way it is. From what I read, they want to stick with the same people and win in Pro, it doesnt work like that, you always have to improve, recruit thats the dot game. I have tried my hardest to force my players into good builds and make them understand that dots arent football .. otherwise Id have had to replace a lot more guys.

Last edited Dec 9, 2008 14:46:48
 
kmart
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The point where this game becomes work and not fun is the point where I believe I'll stop owning a team too. I guess that that's what has happened with Fiddy, as being promoted to Pro means you have to recruit heavily each offseason just to remain competitive. Had we remained in AAA this season, I don't expect he would be selling this offseason.
 
kenyon1977
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new OC and a new DC, hmmmm, what else can I do? We have new sets of eyes looking into our builds so we're optimistic about next season.
 
kenyon1977
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Originally posted by kmart
The point where this game becomes work and not fun is the point where I believe I'll stop owning a team too. I guess that that's what has happened with Fiddy, as being promoted to Pro means you have to recruit heavily each offseason just to remain competitive. Had we remained in AAA this season, I don't expect he would be selling this offseason.


that and EE PRO forum sucks now. How the hell can I come in here and talk shit if I already know we're not going to drop the hammer on anyone? THere's the top teams and everyone else can sit and watch because there are no upsets in GLB. It's getting boring to say the least.
 
Randy03Texags
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There are upsets, Chernobyl wasnt expected to beat top teams this season, there is a LOT of randomness in GLB, but if your tactics and particularly your builds arent anywhere near the other teams, you are not going to have a chance to win.

Also I assure you to have a really top team, unless you have several people to share the load with, being an owner of a top team is a lot of work. I put in WAYYYY too much time in GLB and I think at least once a week about quitting, but my team has a lot of faith in me and many of the single player accounts would up and quit if they werent playing for me.
Last edited Dec 9, 2008 15:07:18
 
Veracocha
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Originally posted by Randy03Texags
Zeta


Stalingrad Gryphon Army 12-2
Two losses this season, amazing! Prague and SGA losing to someone other than themselves, amazing! Thanks for the competition this season Zeta! But on to SGA, other than their loss to Prague, they needed a HUGE throw with 11 seconds left and then a 63yd FG to be beat, their offense is really solid. Their defense isnt the top defense this season, they are given up 350YPG which is good enough for 3rd place in Zeta, but well away from the 215 that Prague is giving up. They have two games left, one is a CPU team and they can run up some stats, but not really learn anything and then they have Dogdandy, who is a very solid team and will at least put up a fight. Realistically, SGA should be the 2nd seed, unless by some chance they lose to Dogdandy, then they have a tie with the winner of Percival and EEORG for 3rd, they lost to both of those teams, so they could drop to 4th which would make them a likely 2nd round game for Prague.



SGA beat Percival though Quite convincingly!

 
Randy03Texags
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Oh yeah .. they only lost to us and EEORG (barely) oops .. my brain wasnt working right there with Zeta, Im sure yall will notice that the Zeta assessment is way crappier than the Alpha one, thats because my wife came home and was annoying me about being online and various other things. Sorry SGA .. I guess then they couldnt drop unless they tie with EEORG.
 
Veracocha
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its okay we at percival would have been quite content if you were right!
 
Jiddy78
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WHEEEEEEEEE WHEEEEEEEEE WHEEEEE Silesia finally ... FINALLY went CPU and wont just get relegated to AAA and pollute our whole region sliding down, but no, they will go right down to A where that mess belongs and where it should have went 3 seasons ago VICTORY!

____


Do not want.
 
Blade Icewood
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love it


what after Europe west pro leagues??


THE WORLD MUAHAHAHHAHAHAHA
 
djfivenine
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Great write Randy.

You are right, GSP, Ninjas, and Piranhas are all trying to avoid that dreaded #4 spot. No offense to the Maulers and Pregls, but Ufa looks dangerous.
Ninjas don't want too much of them since they only beat them by 2 pts.
Piranhas don't want none since they recently lost to them.
GSPs wouldn;t like to see them since their win against Ufa was so early in the year.

Either way, the 4-5 game is going to be a firefight.
Last edited Dec 9, 2008 15:33:43
 
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I think there's still a slight chance we make the playoffs...
 
Randy03Texags
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Originally posted by quantofsol2008
I think there's still a slight chance we make the playoffs...


I dont think so, lets try to think about the scenarios

First off .. Budapest must win out .. that means beating Dubai (possible maybe) and EEORG (less likely). Then Budapest's record would be 9-7 with wins over Dubai and Vaadwaur and Chernobyl, but not Dogdandy.

If Budapest wins out, that means that Dubai loses, so Dubai could have a best possible record of 9-7 as well.

Lets say Chernobyl loses both games, that makes them also 9-7
Chernobyl losing both games means that Vaadwaur won once, making them at least 9-6, they could be either then 10-6 or 9-7 depending on what they do to Dubai.

Its also highly likely that Dogdandy ends up at 9-7

So really the whole darn pyramid depends on Vaadwaur and what they do, because if Vaadwaur beats both Chernobyl and Dubai, that puts Vaadwaur at 10-6 and safe, but then Dubai is 8-8 and out.

So yes, it looks like if yall and Vaadwaur win out .. you could make the playoffs

10-6 is safe, 8-8 is not and 9-7 is maybe .. so Budapest's best bet is a maybe and that maybe includes a win over the present #4 team, which is unlikely.

Also .. lets say that as in the above scenario, Chernobyl loses both games, Dogdandy splits and then yall win out .. that puts 3 teams at 9-7, which then the tiebreaker goes to points and yall have the least points scored of those 3, so you would be the team left out in the cold.

I guess there is a marginal chance and I shouldnt have left you out, but you also dont control your own fate either, you need all the dominoes to fall right and then maybe you get in.
Last edited Dec 9, 2008 17:39:22
 
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