Warrior General Games

Predicted Final Standings

Rk__Team____________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . DVDTalk Otters. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . 94% . . 606 . . 141
..2 . . Rapid City Rushmores. . . . . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . 94% . . 699 . . 184
..3 . . Caprica Buccaneers. . . . . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . 81% . . 786 . . 200
..4 . . Uncle Sam's Misguided Children. 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . 81% . . 635 . . 229
..5 . . Anchorage Wolves. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . 81% . . 608 . . 271
..6 . . Death Valley Vikings. . . . . . . . . . . . .12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . 75% . . 582 . . 259
..7 . . Sioux Falls Storm. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . 63% . . 506 . . 277
..8 . . Chicago Maroons. . . . . .. ... . . .. . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . 56% . . 488 . . 260
..9 . . Midwest Mayhem. . . . . .. . . . . . . . ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . 44% . . 320 . . 418
10 . . Pittsburgh Highlanders . . . . .. . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . 38% . . 256 . . 374
11 . . San Diego Silver Shock. . . . . .. .. . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . 38% . . 447 . . 474
12 . . Death Valley Shadowblades. . . . . ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . 31% . . 247 . . 451
13 . . Ivalice Tacticianers. . . . . . . . . . . . . ...2 . . 14 . . 0 . . 13% . . 272 . . 772
14 . . Rocky Mountain Thunder . . .. . . . . ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . 13% . . 203 . . 969
15 . . Honolulu Red Devils. . . . . . .. . . . . . ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . 13% . . 167 . . 671
16 . . San Jose SkyForce. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ..0% . . ..56 . . 811



Rk__Team______________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . New Brunswick Scarlet Knights . .. . .. 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,209 . . ...156
..2 . . New Hampshire Hustlers . . . . . . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . 1,167 . . ...239
..3 . . Miami Makos . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . ...701 . . ...205
..4 . . Miami Hammerheads . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . ...715 . . ...227
..5 . . Vice City Mambas . . . . . … .. . . . . . . . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . ...552 . . ...252
..6 . . Detroit Outlaws . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . ...632 . . ...232
..7 . . Scranton Wilkes-Barre Menzingers . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . ...647 . . ...452
..8 . . Salem Cyber Hawks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...811 . . ...349
..9 . . Gulf State Demons . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...545 . . ...300
10 . . Las Vegas High Rollers . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . ...417 . . ...357
11 . . Atlanta Wolves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...573 . . ...436
12 . . Memphis Showboats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...438 . . ...451
13 . . Houghton Gremlins . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . ...305 . . ...747
14 . . Akron Browns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ...2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . ...394 . . ...557
15 . . South Texas Skull Crushers . . . . . . . . . ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . .....88 . . 1,433
16 . . Michigan Rage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .....65 . . 2,766

Toughest Schedule Remaining:

Rk__Team____________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Death Valley Shadowblades. . . . . 42 . . 22 . . 0 . . 66% . . 1,963 . . 1,371
..2 . . Rocky Mountain Thunder . . .. . . . . 40 . . 24 . . 0 . . 63% . . 1,752 . . 1,159
..3 . . DVDTalk Otters. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .39 . . 25 . . 0 . . 61% . . 1,987 . . 1,468
..4 . . Sioux Falls Storm. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 . . 28 . . 0 . . 56% . . 1,944 . . 1,572
..5 . . Midwest Mayhem. . . . . .. . . . . . . . 35 . . 29 . . 0 . . 55% . . 1,784 . . 1,642
..6 . . Anchorage Wolves. . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 . . 31 . . 0 . . 52% . . 1,632 . . 1,680
..7 . . Uncle Sam's Misguided Children. 33 . . 31 . . 0 . . 52% . . 1,555 . . 1,612
..8 . . Rapid City Rushmores. . . . . . . . . . 33 . . 31 . . 0 . . 52% . . 1,478 . . 1,461
..9 . . Ivalice Tacticianers. . . . . . . . . . . . . .31 . . 33 . . 0 . . 48% . . 1,556 . . 1,681
10 . . Pittsburgh Highlanders . . . . .. . . . . 31 . . 33 . . 0 . . 48% . . 1,515 . . 1,520
11 . . Honolulu Red Devils. . . . . . .. . . . . . 30 . . 34 . . 0 . . 47% . . 1,837 . . 1,711
12 . . San Jose SkyForce. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28 . . 36 . . 0 . . 44% . . 1,672 . . 1,609
13 . . Caprica Buccaneers. . . . . . . . . . . . 27 . . 37 . . 0 . . 42% . . 1,313 . . 1,802
14 . . Chicago Maroons. . . . . .. ... . . .. . . . 26 . . 38 . . 0 . . 41% . . 1,509 . . 2,009
15 . . Death Valley Vikings. . . . . . . . . . . . .25 . . 39 . . 0 . . 39% . . 1,461 . . 1,846
16 . . San Diego Silver Shock. . . . . .. .. . . 23 . . 41 . . 0 . . 36% . . 1,370 . . 1,945



Rk__Team______________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Vice City Mambas . . . . . … .. . . . . . . . . 44 . . 20 . . 0 . . 69% . . 2,518 . . 1,387
..2 . . Miami Hammerheads . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 . . 24 . . 0 . . 63% . . 2,385 . . 1,448
..3 . . Michigan Rage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40 . . 24 . . 0 . . 63% . . 2,042 . . 1,456
..4 . . Memphis Showboats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 . . 28 . . 0 . . 56% . . 2,489 . . 1,585
..5 . . Detroit Outlaws . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 . . 28 . . 0 . . 56% . . 2,248 . . 2,153
..6 . . Salem Cyber Hawks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36 . . 28 . . 0 . . 56% . . 1,788 . . 2,535
..7 . . Miami Makos . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . 35 . . 29 . . 0 . . 55% . . 2,131 . . 2,206
..8 . . Atlanta Wolves . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34 . . 30 . . 0 . . 53% . . 2,120 . . 2,145
..9 . . Akron Browns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .32 . . 32 . . 0 . . 50% . . 2,272 . . 1,767
10 . . Las Vegas High Rollers . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31 . . 33 . . 0 . . 48% . . 2,125 . . 2,036
11 . . South Texas Skull Crushers . . . . . . . . . 31 . . 33 . . 0 . . 48% . . 2,097 . . 1,655
12 . . Houghton Gremlins . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30 . . 34 . . 0 . . 47% . . 2,232 . . 2,596
13 . . New Brunswick Scarlet Knights . .. . .. 26 . . 38 . . 0 . . 41% . . 2,114 . . 1,923
14 . . New Hampshire Hustlers . . . . . . . . . . . 24 . . 40 . . 0 . . 38% . . 1,737 . . 3,555
15 . . Gulf State Demons . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . 23 . . 41 . . 0 . . 36% . . 1,593 . . 3,010
16 . . Scranton Wilkes-Barre Menzingers . . . 22 . . 42 . . 0 . . 34% . . 1,773 . . 2,135

Next Weeks Scores:

Rapid City (73) over Honolulu (5)
DVDTalk (23) over USMC (12)
Caprica (95) over San Jose (2)
Midwest (20) over Shadowblades (15)
Anchorage (26) over Sioux Falls (22)
Vikings (34) over Pittsburgh (10)
San Diego (53) over Ivalice (22)
Chicago (72) over Rocky Mountain (8)


NBSK (80) over Akron (8)
New Hampshire (162) over So. Texas (3)
Gulf State (162) over Michigan (3) - Same score as the one above
Hammerheads vs. Makos - too close, it gives two predictions, each with a different team winning
Vice City (28) over Salem (19)
Scranton W-B (60) over Houghton (15)
Detroit (29) over Memphis (12)
Vegas (22) over Atlanta (20)

And last game was a proof of exactly why we need manual predictions in addition to computer predictions - it was wrong quite a bit because of boosting, randomness, and coordinator performance.

Damn matta you all detailed this time

In the West I don't see the Anchorage or DVD wins being as close as predicted. Definitely looking forward to the Miami Bowl tomorrow night in the East, but I think Atlanta beats Vegas. Agreement other than that though.

USMC is a vastly improved team.... They could at least keep it close vs. DVD, though I don't see them pulling out a win...

It's a crazy sim though sometimes....

No way we score that much. If we do we lose the following game because my two RBs will be exhausted.

I could definitely see USMC keeping it close or possibly winning. They had two tough games early, but they've played outstanding since that. They've got a very solid D.

Originally posted by Booster4324
No way we score that much. If we do we lose the following game because my two RBs will be exhausted.

It tends to really over predict the blow outs. I think most teams are using the AI settings to play a little easier when blowing out another team, so those 300+ wins that it sometimes predicts never really come to fruition.

edit: and I wouldn't look at these scores as if they're written in stone. The spreadsheet gives 2 predictions for each game (the score from the winning team's perspective and from the losing team's perspective), so it's by no means a perfect system. By convention, I always show the score from the winning team's estimate (though they're usually only 1 or 2 points different).

They way I look at it is if the spreadsheet predicts a 7 pt or less victory, the game could go either way. A 7-20 pt victory: the game should be a win. A 20-50 point difference: it should be an easy win. A 50+ point win: it'll be a blowout.

The interesting part is when you think a game might be close or might be easy, and the spreadsheet says otherwise.

Miami VS Miami...This is going to be the game of the week! Should be a tough battle for both teams, Good luck......Miami! lol

So how many points does it predict DVD would beat us by this week?

DVDTalk (18) over NBSK (9).

That's a huge shift after 1 game.

It should be noted that cross-conference match-ups are always going to be poor because there's no good base of comparison (only one cross-conference game per season).