Here's the playoff picture after 15 games for USA BBB #1.
The number in {brackets} next to each team is their "magic number." ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magic_number_%28sports%29 ) Any combination of wins by your team or losses by the team you need to finish ahead of means you clinch a playoff spot.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
1 Eleven Wise Monkeys 15-0 [CLINCHED #1]
2 Louisville Nighthawks 14-1 [CLINCHED #2]
3 Boston Massacre 12-3 [CLINCHED #5 or better] {1 for #3}
4 Bristol Bullets 11-4 [CLINCHED #6 or better]
5 New York Warriors 11-4 [CLINCHED #6 or better]
6 New York Hope 10-5 [CLINCHED #6 or better]
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7 Dallas Rampage 9-6 {1 for #7}
8 Alcatraz Island Jailbreakers 8-7 {1 for #8}
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9 TCC's Wax-Bustin Warriors 8-7 {2 for #8}
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10 Miami Sharks 6-9 [ELIMINATED]
11 Syracuse Souls 5-10 [ELIMINATED]
12 Colonial Zoners 4-11 [ELIMINATED]
13 Cleveland Firebirds 4-11 [ELIMINATED]
14 Hartford Musician 2-13 [ELIMINATED]
15 Baltimore Knights 1-14 [ELIMINATED]
16 Richmond Retros 0-15 [ELIMINATED]
The Monkeys and Louisville have clinched the #1 and #2 spots. Boston can clinch #3 with a win over the 7-8 Fresno Fire. But spots 4, 5 and 6 all depend on who wins, who loses, and what sort of tie-breakers will be needed, particularly if a 3-way developes somehow. There's a win-loop in place between Boston, Bristol and NY Warriors, and there's another win-loop in place between Bristol, NY Warriors and NY Hope. So rather than try to sort that out, I'll just list their upcoming opponents.
#3 Boston Massacre vs. Fresno Fire (7-8)
#4 Bristol Bullets vs. Vallonia BeaverHunters (5-10)
#5 New York Warriors vs. Los Angeles Reign (14-1)
#6 New York Hope vs. Florida Bulls (11-4)
Meanwhile, the race to fill slots 7 and 8 is a 3-way race as well, and there's also a win-loop in place between Dallas, Alcatraz and TCC.
Dallas faces Little Haiti (10-5) in a game they could easily win or lose.
Meanwhile, Alcatraz has a gimme against Minnesota (2-13), while TCC has a gimme against Minden (4-11). In all liklihood, both Alcatraz and TCC will finish 9-7, so I'll focus on that scenario. In that scenario, if Dallas wins, Dallas takes #7 and Alcatraz takes #8. If Dallas LOSES, however, there will be a 3-way tie, and then points-scored will be used as a tie-breaker, followed by points-against. That gives Alcatraz and TCC every reason to try to run up the score to boost their odds in a possible 3-way tie-breaker.
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WESTERN CONFERENCE
1 Oklahoma City Spartans 15-0 [CLINCHED #1]
2 Los Angeles Reign 14-1 [CLINCHED #2]
3 Over The Rhine Red Dots 12-3 [CLINCHED #5 or better] {1 for #3}
4 Florida Bulls 11-4 [CLINCHED #7 or better]
5 San Jose Chupacabra 11-4 [CLINCHED #7 or better]
6 Little Haiti Voodoo 10-5 [CLINCHED #7 or better]
7 South Otto Fragile Porcelain Mice 10-5 [CLINCHED #7 or better]
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8 Fresno Fire 7-8 {1 for #8}
9 Reno Marauders 7-8 {2 for #8}
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10 Bay Area Bastards 6-9 [ELIMINATED]
11 Vallonia BeaverHunters 5-10 [ELIMINATED]
12 Minden Musketeers 4-11 [ELIMINATED]
13 Colorado Springs Flyers 3-12 [ELIMINATED]
14 Oklahoma City Outlaws 2-13 [ELIMINATED]
14 Minnesota Americans 2-13 [ELIMINATED]
16 Candy Mountian Unicorns 1-14 [ELIMINATED]
The OKC Spartans and LA Reign have clinched #1 and #2, and Over The Rhine can clinch #3 with a win. But the wins and losses between #3 and #7 are so complicated that I'm not going to spend the time to sort that out either. Everyone should push to win, and a lot can happen, especially if any 3-way ties develop. Here's the remaining opponents.
#3 Over The Rhine vs. Colonial Zoners (4-10)
#4 Florida Bulls vs. New York Hope (10-5)
#5 San Jose Chupacabra vs. Richmond Retros (0-15)
#6 Little Haiti Voodoo vs. Dallas Rampage (9-6)
#7 South Otto Fragile Porcelain Mice vs. Cleveland Firebirds (4-11)
Meanwhile, Vallonia lost and is finally eliminated. The means the race for #8 is down to Fresno and Reno.
Fresno owns the head-to-head tie-breaker over Reno, so all Fresno has to do is win. Unfortunately, Fresno's final opponent is the Boston Massacre (12-3).
Reno needs to win and needs Fresno to lose. Reno's final opponent is the Syracuse Souls (5-10). That means Reno's odds are actually better than Fresno's. But Reno's game is not exactly a gimme, so if Reno and Fresno both lose, Fresno takes #8.
The number in {brackets} next to each team is their "magic number." ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magic_number_%28sports%29 ) Any combination of wins by your team or losses by the team you need to finish ahead of means you clinch a playoff spot.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
1 Eleven Wise Monkeys 15-0 [CLINCHED #1]
2 Louisville Nighthawks 14-1 [CLINCHED #2]
3 Boston Massacre 12-3 [CLINCHED #5 or better] {1 for #3}
4 Bristol Bullets 11-4 [CLINCHED #6 or better]
5 New York Warriors 11-4 [CLINCHED #6 or better]
6 New York Hope 10-5 [CLINCHED #6 or better]
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7 Dallas Rampage 9-6 {1 for #7}
8 Alcatraz Island Jailbreakers 8-7 {1 for #8}
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9 TCC's Wax-Bustin Warriors 8-7 {2 for #8}
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10 Miami Sharks 6-9 [ELIMINATED]
11 Syracuse Souls 5-10 [ELIMINATED]
12 Colonial Zoners 4-11 [ELIMINATED]
13 Cleveland Firebirds 4-11 [ELIMINATED]
14 Hartford Musician 2-13 [ELIMINATED]
15 Baltimore Knights 1-14 [ELIMINATED]
16 Richmond Retros 0-15 [ELIMINATED]
The Monkeys and Louisville have clinched the #1 and #2 spots. Boston can clinch #3 with a win over the 7-8 Fresno Fire. But spots 4, 5 and 6 all depend on who wins, who loses, and what sort of tie-breakers will be needed, particularly if a 3-way developes somehow. There's a win-loop in place between Boston, Bristol and NY Warriors, and there's another win-loop in place between Bristol, NY Warriors and NY Hope. So rather than try to sort that out, I'll just list their upcoming opponents.
#3 Boston Massacre vs. Fresno Fire (7-8)
#4 Bristol Bullets vs. Vallonia BeaverHunters (5-10)
#5 New York Warriors vs. Los Angeles Reign (14-1)
#6 New York Hope vs. Florida Bulls (11-4)
Meanwhile, the race to fill slots 7 and 8 is a 3-way race as well, and there's also a win-loop in place between Dallas, Alcatraz and TCC.
Dallas faces Little Haiti (10-5) in a game they could easily win or lose.
Meanwhile, Alcatraz has a gimme against Minnesota (2-13), while TCC has a gimme against Minden (4-11). In all liklihood, both Alcatraz and TCC will finish 9-7, so I'll focus on that scenario. In that scenario, if Dallas wins, Dallas takes #7 and Alcatraz takes #8. If Dallas LOSES, however, there will be a 3-way tie, and then points-scored will be used as a tie-breaker, followed by points-against. That gives Alcatraz and TCC every reason to try to run up the score to boost their odds in a possible 3-way tie-breaker.
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WESTERN CONFERENCE
1 Oklahoma City Spartans 15-0 [CLINCHED #1]
2 Los Angeles Reign 14-1 [CLINCHED #2]
3 Over The Rhine Red Dots 12-3 [CLINCHED #5 or better] {1 for #3}
4 Florida Bulls 11-4 [CLINCHED #7 or better]
5 San Jose Chupacabra 11-4 [CLINCHED #7 or better]
6 Little Haiti Voodoo 10-5 [CLINCHED #7 or better]
7 South Otto Fragile Porcelain Mice 10-5 [CLINCHED #7 or better]
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8 Fresno Fire 7-8 {1 for #8}
9 Reno Marauders 7-8 {2 for #8}
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10 Bay Area Bastards 6-9 [ELIMINATED]
11 Vallonia BeaverHunters 5-10 [ELIMINATED]
12 Minden Musketeers 4-11 [ELIMINATED]
13 Colorado Springs Flyers 3-12 [ELIMINATED]
14 Oklahoma City Outlaws 2-13 [ELIMINATED]
14 Minnesota Americans 2-13 [ELIMINATED]
16 Candy Mountian Unicorns 1-14 [ELIMINATED]
The OKC Spartans and LA Reign have clinched #1 and #2, and Over The Rhine can clinch #3 with a win. But the wins and losses between #3 and #7 are so complicated that I'm not going to spend the time to sort that out either. Everyone should push to win, and a lot can happen, especially if any 3-way ties develop. Here's the remaining opponents.
#3 Over The Rhine vs. Colonial Zoners (4-10)
#4 Florida Bulls vs. New York Hope (10-5)
#5 San Jose Chupacabra vs. Richmond Retros (0-15)
#6 Little Haiti Voodoo vs. Dallas Rampage (9-6)
#7 South Otto Fragile Porcelain Mice vs. Cleveland Firebirds (4-11)
Meanwhile, Vallonia lost and is finally eliminated. The means the race for #8 is down to Fresno and Reno.
Fresno owns the head-to-head tie-breaker over Reno, so all Fresno has to do is win. Unfortunately, Fresno's final opponent is the Boston Massacre (12-3).
Reno needs to win and needs Fresno to lose. Reno's final opponent is the Syracuse Souls (5-10). That means Reno's odds are actually better than Fresno's. But Reno's game is not exactly a gimme, so if Reno and Fresno both lose, Fresno takes #8.
Last edited Jul 10, 2008 18:41:11
