Warrior General Games

Here are the Projected Standings using Satchmo-n-Dizzy's spreadsheet.
http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=470138

All data entered up to Week 8.

Western Conference
Rk__Team___________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . Rapid City Rushmores . . . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . 94% . . 577 . . .....91
..2 . . Lima Lemurs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . 94% . . 557 . . .....89
..3 . . Caprica Buccaneers. . . . . . . . . . . 14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . 88% . . 605 . . ...149
..4 . . DVDTalk Otters . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . 75% . . 470 . . ...178
..5 . . Albuquerque Devils. . . . . . . . . . . . 11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . 69% . . 361 . . ...212
..6 . . Chicago Maroons . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . 56% . . 405 . . ...296
..7 . . Anchorage Wolves. . . . . . . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . 56% . . 353 . . ...309
..8 . . Midwest Mayhem. . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . 56% . . 326 . . ...285
..9 . . San Diego Silver Shock . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . 50% . . 305 . . ...331
10 . . Las Colinas Sooners . . . . . . . . . . ..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . 50% . . 320 . . ...375
11 . . Sioux Falls Storm . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . 44% . . 348 . . ...333
12 . . Honolulu Red Devils . . . . . . . . . . . ..3 . . 12 . . 1 . . 22% . . 205 . . ...436
13 . . Uncle Sam's Misguided Children ..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . 19% . . 266 . . ...346
14 . . Pittsburgh Highlanders . . . . . . . . . ..2 . . 13 . . 1 . . 16% . . 164 . . ...487
15 . . Death Valley Shadowblades . . . . . ..2 . . 14 . . 0 . . 13% . . 124 . . ...478
16 . . San Jose Sabercats. . . . . . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ..0% . . ..33 . . 1,255


Eastern Conference
Rk__Team________________________W___L___T____%_____PF____PA__
..1 . . New Brunswick Scarlet Knights . . . . 16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,087 . . .....68
..2 . . New York Strikers. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . ...836 . . .....83
..3 . . Miami Makos . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . ...477 . . ...198
..4 . . Michigan Rage. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . ...475 . . ...181
..5 . . New Hampshire Hustlers . . . . . . . . . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . ...377 . . ...239
..6 . . Scranton Wilkes-Barre Menzingers . . 10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . ...441 . . ...222
..7 . . Miami Hammerheads. . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...487 . . ...233
..8 . . Akron Browns . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...595 . . ...345
..9 . . Salem Cyber Hawks. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...296 . . ...239
10 . . Detroit Outlaws. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . ...304 . . ...368
11 . . Atlanta Wolves. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...276 . . ...296
12 . . Gulf State Demons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...363 . . ...260
13 . . Vice City Mambas. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...394 . . ...501
14 . . Las Vegas High Rollers. . . . . . . . . . . ..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . ...203 . . ...420
15 . . Memphis Showboats . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . .......5 . . ...961
16 . . Houghton Gremlins . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .......0 . . 1,963

Graphical Version ----> http://i288.photobucket.com/albums/ll198/mw54finest/GLB/Week8Projection.jpg

5th place, not bad. Looks good, nice job!

i dont like were the mambas are at

This is really close to where the Maroons will end up, although I'm gonna play homer and say 10-6, with a close win against either Caprica, or those bastards from Albequerque...

Thanks MW54 for doing this for the league. Nice job.

wow, that's pretty cool

6th, nice. But I think it's safe to say most teams in the east can be moved up a spot considering, with the resent collapse of the Rage, they won't be 4th.

Lima still has to play Rapid City and the Scarlet Knights. So if they finish 15-1, then there is no way that Rapid City can be 15-1 and New Brunswick can be 16-0. Am I just missing something?

Originally posted by Edonidd
Lima still has to play Rapid City and the Scarlet Knights. So if they finish 15-1, then there is no way that Rapid City can be 15-1 and New Brunswick can be 16-0. Am I just missing something?

This is what I got back from Satchmo-n-Dizzy on that issue:
Originally posted by Satchmo-n-Dizzy

It's not really an error, it's just a lack of data. The algorithm use comparative analysis of individual data points. The more data points there are in common (relating to the same two teams) the more accurate the projections will be. Unfortunately in inter-conference play there are ZERO common data points so the algorithm is left with just a very basic (my PF + your PA)/2 vs (your PF + my PA)/2 and a 'confidence' factor.

If we removed the confidence factor, the numbers would agree but wouldn't have a great likelihood of success. Another option would have been to use a different method altogether to deal with game 16, but I chose not to. So, as it is, the algorithm can only resolve the data to a consensus (having the same team win) for about 60% of the games. And those games will always be the more predictable ones (good team vs bad team).

If you wish to arrive at a singular score, you can simply average the PF of one team with the PA of the other, and then do the same the with the other two numbers. That will give you a score and use a similar methodology, it just won't prove to be as accurate overall. Unfortunately, that's as good as it gets for game 16 given the circumstances.

Thanks.

Houghton projected with 0 points for after entire season

Originally posted by Satchmo-n-Dizzy


It's not really an error, it's just a lack of data. The algorithm use comparative analysis of individual data points. The more data points there are in common (relating to the same two teams) the more accurate the projections will be. Unfortunately in inter-conference play there are ZERO common data points so the algorithm is left with just a very basic (my PF + your PA)/2 vs (your PF + my PA)/2 and a 'confidence' factor.

If we removed the confidence factor, the numbers would agree but wouldn't have a great likelihood of success. Another option would have been to use a different method altogether to deal with game 16, but I chose not to. So, as it is, the algorithm can only resolve the data to a consensus (having the same team win) for about 60% of the games. And those games will always be the more predictable ones (good team vs bad team).

If you wish to arrive at a singular score, you can simply average the PF of one team with the PA of the other, and then do the same the with the other two numbers. That will give you a score and use a similar methodology, it just won't prove to be as accurate overall. Unfortunately, that's as good as it gets for game 16 given the circumstances.

Thanks.


This must be his default response because it's exactly the answer I got from him about this issue.

WOOO! RAGE 12-4!

hey! there is NO way Mayhem are going to loose 7 games! lol

Don't like the looks of that at all.

I agree with the predictions, but watch out for Detroit next year!!