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Forum > North American Pro League > Canada Conference > S20 East Playoffs VCS Round One
Vortus
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VCS (Vortus's CPL Standings) Round One

#1 QCBC
Total Player Count:
55 (Avg Lv 72)
Avg Player Value:
1098.14 (Effective Lv 74)

VS

#8 TBSoDF
Total Player Count:
50 (Avg Lv 70)
Avg Player Value:
1049.88 (Effective Lv 74)

Regular season game QCBC 111-19
http://goallineblitz.com/game/game.pl?game_id=1522378

With this matchup we find the juggernaut Cats facing off against the air attack of Sons of Flutie. The regular season game got ugly when the Cats matched them pass for pass and then some. QC didn't bother to utilize much of the running game against them. Giving up 14 sacks really hurt the sons during this game. This time around we will likely see more of the same. I fully expect the Sons to tighten up the D and increase the QB protection, but they lack the firepower to fully compete with the Cats.

Counterpoint
This being said, they cannot take the Sons to lightly, they did manage to put up decent yardage on them. Some broken plays and they could make a game of it.

iPlayoff Prediction
  67 -   15    Queen City Black Cats def. The Bastard Sons of Doug Flutie

#4 Niagara Maulers
Total Player Count:
55 (Avg Lv 73)
Avg Player Value:
1108.28 (Effective Lv 75)

VS

#5 Algoma Arena Rockers
Total Player Count:
55 (Avg Lv 71)
Avg Player Value:
1083.77 (Effective Lv 74)

Regular Season game Niagara 35-20
http://goallineblitz.com/game/game.pl?game_id=1522399

The fourth seed Maulers match up against the fifth seed Rockers. These two just faced one another in the season finale. Knowing the potential was there, both played their cards close to the vest, not really showing much. Both teams cut loose now. Factors to effect the game will be the home field of the Maulers, vs the freshly boosted (likely not showing in current SP value) Rockers. Rockers get the nod by keeping the more powerful Mauler off the field and being closer matched this time with the upgrades.


Counterpoint
If the Rockers do not maintain ball control the air attack of the Mauler will mean trouble for them

iPlayoff Prediction
  19 -   15    Algoma Arena Rockers def. Niagara Maulers

#2 Manitoba Matadors
Total Player Count:
55 (Avg Lv 70)
Avg Player Value
1051.11 (Effective Lv 74)

VS

#7 Raging Alcoholics
Total Player Count:
54 (Avg Lv 70)
Avg Player Value:
1099.09 (Effective Lv 74)

Regular Season Matadors 35-29
http://goallineblitz.com/game/game.pl?game_id=1522411

The Alcoholics visit the second seed Matadors. These two had a very good game the during the regular season and we will see more of the same this time. The key to the game is Passing. Can RA's defense slow down the Matadors passing game. They allowed 21 of 27 with a 12.8 yard average. Cant allow a first down every pass and expect to win the game. Matadors win in a close one again, just to much air power for Raging to keep under wraps.

Counterpoint
A good ball control gameplan and some D changes could tilt this into Ragings favor.

iPlayoff Prediction
  24 -   18    Manitoba Matadors def. Raging Alcoholics

#3 Thunder Bay Wolverines
Total Player Count:
55 (Avg Lv 71)
Avg Player Value:
1077.71 (Effective Lv 74)

VS

#6 Yorkshire Rippers
Total Player Count:
55 (Avg Lv 70)
Avg Player Value:
1061.46 (Effective Lv 74)

Regular Season Thunder Bay 30-27
http://goallineblitz.com/game/game.pl?game_id=1522365

Not sure if there was a closer matched game this season for the regular season game between these two. Almost every stat of the game between the two were within a small percentage of each others. Almost mirror images. This game will be more of the same. Its not going to be who starts the fight, but who finishes it. The Wolverines showed they had more staying power this season than the Rippers who have consistently lost games in the fourth qtr by a small margin. Wolverines in another close one.

Counterpoint
This game really could swing either way. The teams GM's know one another, similar game styles. A big play in the second quarter could easily swing this in the favor the Rippers.

iPlayoff Prediction
  21 -   20    Thunder Bay Wolverines def. Yorkshire Rippers
Edited by Vortus on Feb 19, 2011 20:02:03
 
bovnok
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Great write up man! Thanks for taking your time, even though you picked my Maulers to lose Good luck to your Rippers, and everybody else through the playoffs
 
Vortus
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TBSoDF will have a tough row to hoe, but all three of the other games are winnable by either team.
 
Farlig
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Originally posted by Vortus


#2 Manitoba Matadors
Avg Player Value
1051.11 (Effective Lv 74)

VS

#7 Raging Alcoholics
Avg Player Value:
1099.09 (Effective Lv 74)


That's quite the avg SP point difference
 
Vortus
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I had a formula a while back, but boiled down to anything under 90 is winnable. Over that the chances of a loss increase quite a bit. Under that, the lower the difference the closer the game would be. Just SP value if most things are even or close, ie history, OC/DC ability, agents builds etc. Though the formula takes into account team history etc and current season to help adjust for for the previously mentioned things, took to damn long to figure out for each team. So a 50 SP value is a hurdle to overcome, Matadors have a great set of coaches etc to overcome it obviously.
 
CoachCoughlin
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thanx man

It will be interesting to see who will go on to lose to QCBC in the conference championship.

I'm picking the Matadors
 
Vortus
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I'd have a hard time putting money on any of the games.
 
ep3388
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Originally posted by CoachCoughlin
thanx man

It will be interesting to see who will go on to lose to QCBC in the conference championship.

I'm picking the Matadors


it's no fun picking losers
 
CoachCoughlin
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Originally posted by ep3388
it's no fun picking losers


we can't all be as good as Queen City. The sooner they leave for WL and stay there, the more interesting CPL will be.
 
Billy Corman
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I sent BORT a PM to please nerf Geo De Silva. Apparently, he didn't act on it.

GG, Rippers.
 
rocklee711
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Thanks for doing these Vortus!

Rd. 2 coming up?
 
Vortus
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Originally posted by Billy Corman
I sent BORT a PM to please nerf Geo De Silva. Apparently, he didn't act on it.

GG, Rippers.


You too. He prob did, gave our dots colds so were to tired/sick by the 4th to attempt a rally.

Originally posted by rocklee711
Thanks for doing these Vortus!

Rd. 2 coming up?


I may. Depends on how bad the ice and snow up here screws me up. Since I play by cell 5-6 days of the week, driving weather affects play time. And the wife doesn't mind helping train dots, setting tactics/AI. But won't run scripts or other fun stuff.

 
CoachCoughlin
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Awesome wife

I dunno how u can function via cellphones.. My thumbs would fall off
 
Vortus
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Yes she is.

Hehe can't at this level. My cell won't load our longer AIs and super simple won't cut it in Pro. So I'll only be running KIFIs D next season with my wifes help.
 


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