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Forum > North American Pro League > Canada Conference > Predictions & Projections • Season 14 • Week 5
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FLGator
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For those new or otherwise unfamiliar...these are not my predictions. They come from an old, old Satchmo-N-Dizzy spreadsheet that compiles the data from the games played to date to come up with a set of predictions for the remainder of the season.

They're wildly erratic during the first weeks of the season and begin to take shape as we near the end of the season. This is especially true in situations like we have in the Western Conference with two gutted teams. The 255-0 wins skew the predicted scores for the two Eastern Conference teams that faced the Matadors and Bloodhounds...and it equally messes things up for Western Conference teams who've yet to face either.

So, take them for what you will and hopefully having these won't deter dimmy finster from the weekly rankings he's doing already. These are okay, but they lack a human touch. Without further adieu, here are the inaugural rankings for Season 14:
 
FLGator
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Eastern Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . October Wildfire………………………….15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . 94% . . 1,845 . . ...167
..2 . . Arrowhead Fanatics………..…………..15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . 94% . . 1,300 . . ...162
..3 . . Puvirntuq Musketeers…………………..15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . 94% . . ...970 . . ...229
..4 . . Ontario Coyotes………………………….12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . 75% . . ...703 . . ...295
..5 . . Bloodweiser Bugle All Stars………….12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . 75% . . ...533 . . ...281
..6 . . Cobden Muskrats………………………..11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . 69% . . ...792 . . ...522
..7 . . Hudson Bay Horrors………..…………..10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . 63% . . ...575 . . ...459
..8 . . Charlesburgh Black Iron Dragons……..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . 50% . . ...565 . . ...543
..9 . . Hillsburgh Hillbillies………..…………....7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . 44% . . 1,445 . . 1,010
..10 . . Texas Hogsnakes………………………...7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . 44% . . ...562 . . ...683
..11 . . Village Dogs……………………………..6 . . 10 . . 0 . . 38% . . ...436 . . ...603
..12 . . Yellowknife Rented Mules………..…....5 . . 11 . . 0 . . 31% . . ...530 . . 1,296
..13 . . Renegade Nation………………………..3 . . 13 . . 0 . . 19% . . ...164 . . ...590
..14 . . SquareEnix All-Stars…………………....3 . . 13 . . 0 . . 19% . . ...409 . . ...925
..15 . . Paradise Cheeseburgers………..……..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ..6% . . ...222 . . 1,214
..16 . . The B-Tard Sons of Doug Flutie……....0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ..0% . . .....57 . . 1,181

October Wildfire vs Paradise Cheeseburgers (170-4) Spread: 166
Charlesburgh Black Iron Dragons vs Renegade Nation (36-9) Spread: 27
Puvirntuq Musketeers vs Village Dogs (53-11) Spread: 42
Texas Hogsnakes vs The B-Tard Sons of Doug Flutie (77-5) Spread: 72
Arrowhead Fanatics vs Bloodweiser Bugle All Stars (34-9) Spread: 25
Ontario Coyotes vs Yellowknife Rented Mules (77-16) Spread: 61
Hillsburgh Hillbillies vs SquareEnix All-Stars (101-45) Spread: 56
Cobden Muskrats vs Hudson Bay Horrors (37-30) Spread: 7
 
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Western Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Queensland Exiles………………………16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 4,504 . . ...341
..2 . . Kansas City Gorillas…………………….15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . 3,358 . . ...278
..3 . . Saskatoon Silverbacks………………….14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . 4,175 . . ...255
..4 . . St. John's Salty Dogs……………………13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . ..81% . . 4,146 . . ...566
..5 . . Windsor Black Knights………………….11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . 2,642 . . ...499
..6 . . North Delta Huskies……………………..10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . ..63% . . 3,098 . . ...618
..7 . . Moose Jaw Roughriders………………....9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . 2,586 . . ...548
..8 . . Moncton Mosquitos……………………....8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 3,059 . . ...808
..9 . . Thunder Bay Wolverines………………...8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . 3,032 . . ...957
..10 . . Winnipeg Warriors………………………...7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . ..44% . . 1,684 . . ...440
..11 . . Windsor Walruses………………………..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...983 . . ...938
..12 . . Tadoussac Whalers……………………..4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . 1,148 . . 1,075
..13 . . Nebraska Husker Maniacs……………...3 . . 13 . . 0 . . ..19% . . ...884 . . 1,186
..14 . . Royal Canadian Kilted Yaksmen………...2 . . 14 . . 0 . . ..13% . . ...419 . . 1,022
..15 . . Thunder Bay Bloodhounds……………..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .......0 . . 13,258
..16 . . Manitoba Matadors……………………....0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .......0 . . 13,880

Saskatoon Silverbacks vs St. John's Salty Dogs (46-37) Spread: 9
Kansas City Gorillas vs Thunder Bay Wolverines (95-34) Spread: 61
Queensland Exiles vs Windsor Black Knights (77-36) Spread: 41
Windsor Walruses vs Manitoba Matadors (356-0) Spread: 356
Moncton Mosquitos vs Royal Canadian Kilted Yaksmen (83-8) Spread: 75
Moose Jaw Roughriders vs Thunder Bay Bloodhounds (1013-0) Spread: 1013
North Delta Huskies vs Winnipeg Warriors (38-29) Spread: 9
Tadoussac Whalers vs Nebraska Husker Maniacs (41-26) Spread: 15
 
redrayder28
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Interesting projections...thanks for putting these together FLG!
 
dimmy finster
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thanks much!

Silverbacks dominated much of that game vs. Queensland.
If you want to BE the man, you've got to BEAT the man.
So Queensland is still #1. But that was definitely scary for the rest of the league
that still has to face Silverbacks.


Dimmy Finster looks for Winnipeg Warriors to finish much higher than the computer predictions. That's a good team.


Huskies had MJ on the ropes, up 10-0 and 13-10.
Edited by dimmy finster on Feb 15, 2010 13:38:41
Edited by dimmy finster on Feb 15, 2010 13:36:52
Edited by dimmy finster on Feb 15, 2010 13:35:31
 
rocklee711
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It's about time.
Edited by rocklee711 on Feb 15, 2010 13:40:32
 
evileyez
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Originally posted by dimmy finster
thanks much!

Silverbacks dominated much of that game vs. Queensland.
If you want to BE the man, you've got to BEAT the man.
So Queensland is still #1. But that was definitely scary for the rest of the league
that still has to face Silverbacks.


Dimmy Finster looks for Winnipeg Warriors to finish much higher than the computer predictions. That's a good team.


Huskies had MJ on the ropes, up 10-0 and 13-10.


Clutch dots are clutch. Normally they don't wait that long to make a play though - had my heart going in that one. Great team
Edited by evileyez on Feb 15, 2010 13:44:06
Edited by evileyez on Feb 15, 2010 13:43:48
 
FLGator
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Originally posted by dimmy finster

Dimmy Finster looks for Winnipeg Warriors to finish much higher than the computer predictions. That's a good team.


There are a few teams getting the raw end of the projector now...Winnipeg being one of them. They along with Saskatoon, Windsor, North Delta, Moose Jaw, Nebraska, Tadoussac, and the Kilted Yaksmen have faced neither of the CPU teams. Once everybody has faced at least one of the gutted teams...then the spreads and predicted finish will come closer into line.

I do feel for my fellow Canada A6 Alum, IlligINC. If his Husker Maniacs don't turn it around quickly...they're toast. Their final three games of the season...Saskatoon, Queensland, and St. John's. Ouch. Of course, only Windsor avoids that trio back-to-back-to-back.
 
Sprocket
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Thanks FLGator!
 
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15-1 wow, I think Ontario, Cobden, HH, HBH, CBID and Texas each have something to say about that.
Nice predictions, I should probably update mine for the end of the first quarter, too.
 
drake262
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KCG
 
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Originally posted by drake262 DTD
KCG

 
Gronert
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Originally posted by stromstarhammer DTD
15-1 wow, I think Ontario, Cobden, HH, HBH, CBID and Texas each have something to say about that.
Nice predictions, I should probably update mine for the end of the first quarter, too.


that one loss is coming from us
 
drake262
loldrake
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Originally posted by stromstarhammer DTD



Oh you so mad
 
Octowned
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I love these spreadsheet preds, but as you mentioned unfortunately Wildfire is skewed by a 255-0 week 1 win.
 
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