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nthomas
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Added 4 weeks worth of games to the spreadsheet. I did something different this season. I took the gutted teams, and filled in there scores with the number that seemed to work last season, 55-3, all the way through the season. Hopefully that will help fix some of the randomness that comes from gutted teams.

Early on, these games are usually pretty far off, but get better with more data added. There are some games (like the EWC/Pubes game), which I think are way off, but I just copy and paste, so here is the output.

Week 5


Alpha Conference

Apocalypse †vs Minsk Mullet Mafia (35-29) Spread: 6
Ares Assassins vs Blackburn Carnage (44-10) Spread: 34
Minsk Ninjas vs Vladivostok Voodoo (49-8) Spread: 41
Shortbus Allstars vs Buda Pests (51-12) Spread: 39
Tyrrhenian Sea Wasps vs Alexandrovsk Conquerors (40-6) Spread: 34
Warsaw Wrath vs Saratov Catrades (32-6) Spread: 26



Zeta Conference

Estonian Wife Carriers vs The Cape Town Cubicles (46-15) Spread: 31
Odessa Mojo vs C-Town Hoodlums (53-27) Spread: 26
Portland Niners vs Stalingrad Gryphon Army (33-27) Spread: 6
Rome Black Knights vs Hellas Hoplites (71-8) Spread: 63
Rome Raiders vs Nolaha K&B Purple Spider Pigs (55-10) Spread: 45
Russian Revolution vs Bucharest Warriors (30-15) Spread: 15
Vilnius Velociraptors vs Buffalo WarZone (210-116) Spread: 94
 
Luke Pass
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Apocalypse is going through some personnel changes, we're not sure how we will stack up with some of the competition in the next few games............Interesting read, and fun for debate. Thanks for taking the time....
 
lemdog
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bacardi
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Originally posted by nthomas
There are some games (like the EWC/Pubes game), which I think are way off

Estonian Wife Carriers vs The Cape Town Cubicles (46-15) Spread: 31

well thats really kind of you to say

Originally posted by lemdog

lol they added picard facepalm

 
Crawly
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Originally posted by nthomas
Estonian Wife Carriers vs The Cape Town Cubicles (46-15) Spread: 31


46? So Ashley's only going to score 8-9 times? Weak game...
 
glwarriors
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glad to see you are doing these nt.
 
Real LT
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I'd like a two game parlay, CTC +31 and CTH +26.
 
SeattleNiner
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Thanks for these...!
 
YardRat
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Originally posted by
Vilnius Velociraptors vs Buffalo WarZone (210-116) Spread: 94


I'll take Buffalo straight up, against the spread, and under.
 
kwankwan
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Yeah, many of the Zeta ones look weird... I hope your spreadsheet is right nt.
Edited by kwankwan on Dec 18, 2009 18:08:20
 
nthomas
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Yeah, it is early on. Most guys will not use these until there are 6 games of data, but I usually put them out early.

The zeta issues are mostly with Villinius. THeir scores are all screwy, most likely since they have one big blowout win and one big blowout loss. It should settle for them after a few more games.
 
moose_oner
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Originally posted by lemdog


that is the best thing i've seen all season
 
Dpride59
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Edited by David Stern on Dec 20, 2009 08:10:51
 
misterbing
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nvm
Edited by misterbing on Dec 20, 2009 08:03:39
 
jxgator33
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Pigsimo
 
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