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Forum > North American Pro League > Canada Conference > Predictions & Projections • Season 12 • Week # 12
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FLGator
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Eastern Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Queen City Black Cats………………….15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . 94% . . 705 . . ...218
..2 . . Yellowknife Rented Mules………..……14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . 88% . . 586 . . ...217
..3 . . Magnificent B-Tards……………………..13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . 81% . . 598 . . ...348
..4 . . Village Dogs………..…………………….13 . . ..3 . . 0 . . 81% . . 574 . . ...251
..5 . . Providence Radicals…………………..10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . 63% . . 472 . . ...352
..6 . . Halifax Hashishim………..……………..10 . . ..6 . . 0 . . 63% . . 958 . . ...336
..7 . . Memphis Rage…………………………...8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . 50% . . 355 . . ...293
..8 . . Cobden Muskrats………………………....8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . 50% . . 386 . . ...324
..9 . . Kingston Poopsters………..…………....8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . 50% . . 407 . . ...404
..10 . . Newfoundland Owls……………………..7 . . ..9 . . 0 . . 44% . . 412 . . ...427
..11 . . Hillsburgh Hillbillies……………………...6 . . 10 . . 0 . . 38% . . 390 . . ...517
..12 . . Charlesburgh Black Iron Dragons……...5 . . 11 . . 0 . . 31% . . 400 . . ...478
..13 . . The B-Tard Sons of Doug Flutie……....5 . . 11 . . 0 . . 31% . . 418 . . ...594
..14 . . Niagara Maulers………..………………...4 . . 12 . . 0 . . 25% . . 282 . . ...504
..15 . . Cape Verde Jacks………………………...2 . . 14 . . 0 . . 13% . . 286 . . ...552
..16 . . Medicine Hat Witch Doctors……………..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ..0% . . 164 . . 1,137

Queen City Black Cats vs Kingston Poopsters (39-13) Spread: 26
Village Dogs vs Newfoundland Owls (38-15) Spread: 23
Providence Radicals vs Niagara Maulers (35-14) Spread: 21
Cobden Muskrats vs Cape Verde Jacks (30-13) Spread: 17
Yellowknife Rented Mules vs The B-Tard Sons of Doug Flutie (52-13) Spread: 39
Halifax Hashishim vs Magnificent B-Tards (38-29) Spread: 9Game of the Week
Memphis Rage vs Charlesburgh Black Iron Dragons (23-15) Spread: 8
Hillsburgh Hillbillies vs Medicine Hat Witch Doctors (63-13) Spread: 50

► Before I say much about this week's "Game of the Week" let me clarify that I had no foreknowledge of (a) Yellowknife's token boosting or (b) StoutOne's complacency when picking what I thought would be a good game. I'm taking for granted that Magnificent will put forth a fair amount of effort this week in order to keep a hold on a home playoff game in (at least) round one. That said, let's take a look. The Hashishim cruised to a 2-0 record to begin their CPL debut on the wings of victories against teams with a combined 2-20 record. They dropped their next five games before posting four consecutive wins and moving back into the playoff hunt. Halifax is projected to win this game, but it would be an upset if they did. The B-Tards are a formidable opponent and I expect they'll finish the regular season 14-2 setting up a rematch against the Rented Mules in the playoff's second round. ◄

Week 11 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3440524&page=1#30054417
Week 10 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3431411&page=1#29955454
Week 9 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3425350&page=1#29886835
Week 8 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3422039&page=1#29848292
Week 7 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3417928&page=1#29801546
Week 6 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3417875&page=1#29800922
Week 5 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3402546&page=1#29639602
Week 4 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3398767&page=1#29601954
 
FLGator
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Western Conference

Rk__Team_________________________W__L__T___%____PF____PA__
..1 . . Kansas City Rams………………………16 . . ..0 . . 0 . . 100% . . 1,288 . . ...341
..2 . . Manitoba Aftershocks……………………15 . . ..1 . . 0 . . ..94% . . ...830 . . ...281
..3 . . St. John's Salty Dogs……………………14 . . ..2 . . 0 . . ..88% . . ...814 . . ...348
..4 . . Tadoussac Whalers……………………..12 . . ..4 . . 0 . . ..75% . . ...711 . . ...347
..5 . . Northern Polar Bears……………………11 . . ..5 . . 0 . . ..69% . . ...789 . . ...487
..6 . . Brooklyn Boyz……………………………....9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...677 . . ...418
..7 . . Thunder Bay Bloodhounds……………..9 . . ..7 . . 0 . . ..56% . . ...711 . . ...319
..8 . . Kansas City Gorillas……………………...8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . ...653 . . ...388
..9 . . Thunder Bay Mules………………………..8 . . ..8 . . 0 . . ..50% . . ...666 . . ...439
..10 . . Windsor Walruses……………………....6 . . 10 . . 0 . . ..38% . . ...606 . . ...534
..11 . . North Delta Huskies……………………..5 . . 10 . . 1 . . ..34% . . ...555 . . ...440
..12 . . Nebraska Husker Maniacs……………..5 . . 11 . . 0 . . ..31% . . ...486 . . ...527
..13 . . Tradewest Battletoads…………………..4 . . 11 . . 1 . . ..28% . . ...619 . . ...407
..14 . . Red River Rebellion……………………....4 . . 12 . . 0 . . ..25% . . ...644 . . ...517
..15 . . Hornepayne Northern Railers…………..1 . . 15 . . 0 . . ....6% . . ...500 . . ...644
..16 . . Winnipeg Wrath…………………………..0 . . 16 . . 0 . . ....0% . . .......0 . . 4,552

St. John's Salty Dogs vs Hornepayne Northern Railers (54-17) Spread: 37
Nebraska Husker Maniacs vs Winnipeg Wrath (199-0) Spread: 199
Kansas City Rams vs Kansas City Gorillas (41-25) Spread: 16
Brooklyn Boyz vs North Delta Huskies (24-23) Spread: 1
Manitoba Aftershocks vs Thunder Bay Mules (29-21) Spread: 8
Tadoussac Whalers vs Thunder Bay Bloodhounds (25-20) Spread: 5Game of the Week
Tradewest Battletoads vs Windsor Walruses (33-26) Spread: 7
Northern Polar Bears vs Red River Rebellion (48-33) Spread: 15

► I was tempted to put the Kansas City throwdown (Rams vs. Gorillas) as the Game of the Week, but it's hard to imagine the Gorillas will make enough noise for the game to be close. That, and the Rams look unstoppable. So, this week's Game of the Week features the current #5 & #6 teams in CPL West. The projector has the Whalers finishing 12-4 in their inaugural season while Thunder Bay is still trying to find what they're missing from last season's 14-2 regular season. After falling to the Durham Ice Odyssey in the conference championship things haven't been quite right for the Bloodhounds. Tadoussac's playoff aspirations aren't etched in stone, but appear to be near certain...can they wrap up one of the four coveted home-field slots in Round 1? ◄

Week 11 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3440524&page=1#30054426
Week 10 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3431411&page=1#29955473
Week 9 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3425350&page=1#29886842
Week 8 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3422039&page=1#29848301
Week 7 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3417928&page=1#29801558
Week 6 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3417875&page=1#29800931
Week 5 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3402546&page=1#29639614
Week 4 Predictions & Projections: http://goallineblitz.com/game/forum_thread.pl?thread_id=3398767&page=1#29601966
 
FLGator
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Eastern Conference_________________________________________________________________________________________________

Queen City Black Cats vs Cobden Muskrats (32-12) Spread: 20 Actual Score, 24-18, Black Cats
Village Dogs vs Niagara Maulers (38-11) Spread: 27 Actual Score, 65-3, Dogs
Providence Radicals vs Cape Verde Jacks (41-17) Spread: 24 Actual Score, 36-3, Radicals
Newfoundland Owls vs The B-Tard Sons of Doug Flutie (37-27) Spread: 10 Actual Score, 32-21, Sons of Doug Flutie
Yellowknife Rented Mules vs Magnificent B-Tards (23-17) Spread: 6Game of the WeekActual Score, 60-17, Rented Mules
Halifax Hashishim vs Charlesburgh Black Iron Dragons (53-21) Spread: 32 Actual Score, 38-12, Hashishim
Memphis Rage vs Medicine Hat Witch Doctors (48-8) Spread: 40 Actual Score, 75-0, Rage
Kingston Poopsters vs Hillsburgh Hillbillies (28-20) Spread: 8 Actual Score, 31-27, Hillbillies

Western Conference_________________________________________________________________________________________________

St. John's Salty Dogs vs Tradewest Battletoads (37-21) Spread: 16 Actual Score, 23-20, Salty Dogs
Kansas City Rams vs North Delta Huskies (45-20) Spread: 25 Actual Score, 49-27, Rams
Manitoba Aftershocks vs Northern Polar Bears (33-27) Spread: 6Game of the WeekActual Score, 34-17, Aftershocks
Red River Rebellion vs Hornepayne Northern Railers (44-29) Spread: 15 Actual Score, 37-19, Rebellion
Thunder Bay Bloodhounds vs Nebraska Husker Maniacs (29-14) Spread: 15 Actual Score, 41-10, Bloodhounds
Tadoussac Whalers vs Windsor Walruses (41-24) Spread: 17 Actual Score, 44-10, Whalers
Thunder Bay Mules vs Brooklyn Boyz (30-22) Spread: 8 Actual Score, 35-27, Boyz
Kansas City Gorillas vs Winnipeg Wrath (291-0) Spread: 291 Actual Score, 234-0, Gorillas
 
robsalvador
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Nice GOTW. Ill crack the whip.
 
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I don't follow how these projections work. according to the projection us Hillbillies are only going to win 1 more game for the remainder of the season. However 3 of our last 5 games are against teams ranked lower than us in your rankings. What gives? how exactly do you come up with these? Or is it just a personal opinion thing.

Anyway I would hate for my first post in your topics to be bitching about the logistics of everything so let me tack on that you are doing some good work here and I enjoy reading them.
 
StoutOne
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Originally posted by FLGator

► Before I say much about this week's "Game of the Week" let me clarify that I had no foreknowledge of (a) Yellowknife's token boosting or (b) StoutOne's complacency when picking what I thought would be a good game. I'm taking for granted that Magnificent will put forth a fair amount of effort this week in order to keep a hold on a home playoff game in (at least) round one. That said, let's take a look. The Hashishim cruised to a 2-0 record to begin their CPL debut on the wings of victories against teams with a combined 2-20 record. They dropped their next five games before posting four consecutive wins and moving back into the playoff hunt. Halifax is projected to win this game, but it would be an upset if they did. The B-Tards are a formidable opponent and I expect they'll finish the regular season 14-2 setting up a rematch against the Rented Mules in the playoff's second round. ◄


Honestly, we're going for a #4 seed, I'd rather play QCBC over the Mules....so don't expect much effort from this team.
 
FLGator
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Originally posted by Christian Okoye

I don't follow how these projections work. according to the projection us Hillbillies are only going to win 1 more game for the remainder of the season. However 3 of our last 5 games are against teams ranked lower than us in your rankings. What gives? how exactly do you come up with these? Or is it just a personal opinion thing.

Anyway I would hate for my first post in your topics to be bitching about the logistics of everything so let me tack on that you are doing some good work here and I enjoy reading them.


I don't come up with them, so there isn't an opinion involved. The only personal bias I add is when I choose a Game of the Week. I dump each week's results into an Excel spreadsheet and it crunches all of the numbers. Back in the early days of GLB Satchmo-N-Dizzy formulated this spreadsheet and (to my knowledge) the only tweak it has received was back in Season 6 when the inter-conference game moved from Week 16 to Week 1. It factors in your win-loss percentage, your opponent's win-loss percentage, points scored, points allowed, and compiles the numbers into the sheet that I post each week. Looking specifically at the Hillbillies...

...it projects a win this week against the Witch Doctors followed by four losses. The Charlesburgh game is close (25-28), the B-Tards not so much (16-43), the "other" B-Tards (i.e. Sons of Doug Flutie) it projects as a tie (32-32), and the Village Dogs another solid loss (13-45).

Hope that helps...
 
Illig INC
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good read bro.....
 
Hanz
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Well I think the predictor works well when the teams are further apart in ability.....This season has seen to many close games for it really to have a strong record.

Right now for the Hillbillies I think it is running at 5 right and 4 wrong or something along those lines. Teams are just so close and so many games are won by a TD or less, It can spit out a number and call a win....but if the game is less than a TD apart come half-way thru 4Q, all it needs is a INT or FF or Lucky punt return and bingo the predictor is wrong


LOL...that said they are always good reads and Eastern is the competitive conference I have ever played in. Good fun!!
 
robsalvador
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Whalers approve of the anti-Hillbilly bias.

Definitely a bigoted team name deserves extra hardship.



 
Hanz
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hey you need to pays me cash, if you going to use my sister lucy as your avatar!!!
 
robsalvador
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Why??

She lets everyone else use them for free.
 
CONN CHRIS
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Common Western Mules - you guys are giving mules everywhere a bad name. Make the playoffs!
 
Buxx
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TB Bloodhounds at 6-5 is sumthin i dint expect
 
Hanz
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Originally posted by robsalvador
Why??

She lets everyone else use them for free.



Ohhh you can use them for free alls u want. By when u use her for promotional marketing value, thens u need to pay up
 
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