Warrior General Games

Here it is, last week of the season! Back for yet another season are the final clinch scenarios as well as probability breakdowns for each seed!

Western Conference Clinch Scenarios
1] Seattle has clinched the #1 seed
2] Portland can clinch the #2 seed with a win against New Jersey
3] Norfolk can clinch the #6 seed with a win against St. Louis
4] Mile High has clinched the #8 seed

Western Conference Probability Distribution
#1: Seattle (100%)
#2: Portland (78.65%), Minnesota (16.15%), Coruscant (3.65%), Louisiana (1.56%)
#3: Louisiana (32.81%), Coruscant (28.65%), Minnesota (22.40%), Portland (16.15%)
#4: Coruscant (34.90%), Louisiana (32.81%), Minnesota (28.65%), Portland (3.65%)
#5: Louisiana/Minnesota/Coruscant (32.81% each), Portland (1.56%)
#6: Norfolk (75%), Memphis (25%)
#7: Memphis (75%), Norfolk (25%)
#8: Mile High (100%)

Eastern Conference Clinch Scenarios
1] Miami has clinched the #1 seed
2] Virginia can clinch the #2 seed with a win against Los Angeles
3] Cleveland can clinch the #2 seed with a win against Coruscant and a Virginia loss.
4] Cleveland can clinch the #3 seed with a win
5] Chicago Storm have clinched the #8 seed

Eastern Conference Probability Distribution
#1: Miami (100%)
#2: Virginia (75%), Cleveland (25%)
#3: Cleveland (44.27%), Virginia (25%), Chicago Commandos (14.06%), Bud Dry (10.94%), College Station (5.73%)
#4: College Station (45.96%), Cleveland (20.83%), Chicago Commandos (18.36%), Bud Dry (13.67%), Nevada (1.17%)
#5: Chicago Commandos (40.76%), College Station (26.17%), Bud Dry (19.92%), Cleveland (8.33%), Nevada (4.82%)
#6: Bud Dry (54.30%), Chicago Commandos (22.01%), College Station/Nevada (11.07% each), Cleveland (1.56%)
#7: Nevada (82.94%), College Station (11.07%), Chicago Commandos (4.82%), Bud Dry (1.17%)
#8: Chicago Storm (100%)

Enjoy!

Chicago Commandos #4 100%. College Station has the unlucky position of playing Seattle in game 16 and CC plays cpu run Fargo. Commandos #3 40%, Cleveland has a real opponent as well against Coruscant and CC holds the tie breaker. CC deserves a break w/ 2/4 losses coming by 1 point.

Originally posted by finsncanes
Chicago Commandos #4 100%. College Station has the unlucky position of playing Seattle in game 16 and CC plays cpu run Fargo. Commandos #3 40%, Cleveland has a real opponent as well against Coruscant and CC holds the tie breaker. CC deserves a break w/ 2/4 losses coming by 1 point.

The probability distribution doesn't take projected outcomes into consideration. Instead, it considers every possibility regardless of opponent.

Based on the league projector spreadsheet that most of you already know about, the final game outcomes for the teams in the East who are 2-7 are as follows:
Virginia - W
Cleveland - W
College Station - L
Chicago Commandos - W
Bud Dry - W
Nevada - W

This means the result will be:
#2 - Virginia
#3 - Cleveland
#4 - Chicago Commandos
#5 - Bud Dry
#6 - Nevada
#7 - College Station

I have the outcomes for each possible scenario in the West and East for those who are curious.

That sucks...we already lost

Originally posted by bam smash
That sucks...we already lost

These type of predictions don't make me feel any better either. Just increases the pressure when it doesn't really matter if we win or not. Good luck!(honestly)

I'm not even sure the odds of Virginia losing to Los Angeles are calculable.

Originally posted by finsncanes
Chicago Commandos #4 100%. College Station has the unlucky position of playing Seattle in game 16 and CC plays cpu run Fargo. Commandos #3 40%, Cleveland has a real opponent as well against Coruscant and CC holds the tie breaker. CC deserves a break w/ 2/4 losses coming by 1 point.

lol

College Station FTW

GG and way to represent the east!

Sorry about the jinx tciss....

Originally posted by finsncanes
Originally posted by finsncanes

Chicago Commandos #4 100%. College Station has the unlucky position of playing Seattle in game 16 and CC plays cpu run Fargo. Commandos #3 40%, Cleveland has a real opponent as well against Coruscant and CC holds the tie breaker. CC deserves a break w/ 2/4 losses coming by 1 point.

lol

College Station FTW

GG and way to represent the east!

Sorry about the jinx tciss....

I suspected that might happen. Great game for CSS just don't forget my cut of the home playoff game revenue. All I regret was screwing up Romo's stats with 3 int's. No one get excited, I won't be doing that again!

Again, congrats and good luck the rest of the way. Hopefully we will meet again.

Thanks - we caught some breaks in a very big game for us. It turned out well.

Good game to you too