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Mike Rogers
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OK just for fun, I mapped out the remaining games for each team, assigned a difficulty rating, and made a end of season prediction based on that.

In brief that gives me the following Final standings.


13-3 Wu Jax

12-4 Paris

11-5 Warriors, Monarchs, Mercs

10-6 Toledo

9-7 Berlin

8-8 Rocks, Vikings, LCWD, FTA

7-9 AWC

6-10 Nighthawks

4-12 Carthage

1-15 Blackpool

0-16 Renegades
Last edited Oct 12, 2008 11:51:07
 
Mike Rogers
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1 Woodridge Lumberjacks 9-2-0 W8

To Play: Rocks, Berlin, LCWD, Paris, Korb.
Difficulty Rating : ****
Predicted Final Record : 13-3

2 Paris Philharmonic 9-2-0 W8

To Play: Carthage, Toledo, Stuttgart, WuJax, Heat.
Difficulty Rating : ***
Predicted Final Record : 12-4

3 Toledo Swords 7-4-0 W6

To Play: LCWD, Paris, FTA, AWC, Roughnecks.
Difficulty Rating : ****
Predicted Final Record : 10-6


4 Wembley Warriors 7-4-0 L1

To Play: FTA, AWC, Vikings, Carthage, Rage.
Difficulty Rating : **
Predicted Final Record : 11-5

5 London Monarchs 7-4-0 W1

To Play: Mercs, Vikings, Renegades, Rocks, Stampede
Difficulty Rating : **
Predicted Final Record : 11-5


6 E-City Mercenaries 7-4-0 W2

To Play: Monarchs, Renegades, Rocks, Berlin, Cowboys.
Difficulty Rating : **
Predicted Final Record : 11-5

7 Berlin Blitzkrieg 6-5-0 L3

To Play: Stuttgart, WuJax, Lions, Mercs, Musketeers.
Difficulty Rating : *
Predicted Final Record : 9-7


8 Aberdeen Wrecking Crew 6-5-0 W1

To Play: Vikings, Warriors, Carthage, Toledo, Trolls
Difficulty Rating : ****
Predicted Final Record : 7-9

9 Chicago Rocks 6-5-0 W1

To Play: Wujax, Lions, Mercs, Monarchs, Porto.
Difficulty Rating : ***
Predicted Final Record : 8-8


10 Fightin' Texas Aggies 5-6-0 L1

To Play: Warriors, Carthage, Toledo, Stuttgart, Valencia.
Difficulty Rating : *
Predicted Final Record : 8-8


11 Lake Charles Who Dats 5-6-0 L2

To Play: Toledo, Stuttgart, Wujax, Lions, Scoregasm.
Difficulty Rating : ***
Predicted Final Record : 8-8

12 Valhalla Vikings 5-6-0 L2

To Play: AWC, Monarchs, Warriors, Renegades, Oslo.
Difficulty Rating : ***
Predicted Final Record : 8-8

13 Stuttgart Nighthawks 5-6-0 L1

To Play: Berlin, LCWD, Paris, FTA, R.Aggies.
Difficulty Rating : ****
Predicted Final Record : 6-10

14 Carthage Army Of Darkness 4-7-0 W2

To Play: Paris, FTA, AWC, Warriors, Meatballs.
Difficulty Rating : ****
Predicted Final Record : 4-12

15 Blackpool Mountain Lions 0-11-0 L16


To Play: Renegades, Rocks, Berlin, LCWD, Pimps.
Difficulty Rating : ****
Predicted Final Record : 1-15

16 Richmond Renegades 0-11-0 L18

To Play: Lions, Mercs, Monarchs, Vikings, PPP
Difficulty Rating :*****
Predicted Final Record : 0-16


Last edited Oct 12, 2008 11:49:30
 
Zickzack
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Hmm, you really think that Berlin has an easier remaining schedule than the Mercenaries?

Monarchs, Renegades, Rocks, Berlin, Cowboys
vs.
Stuttgart, WuJax, Lions, Mercs, Musketeers

And you rate the former ^^ and the latter ^? Does not compute somehow. Also I can't quite see us ending at 11-5, but 10-6 is a distinct possibility
 
Mike Rogers
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Yeah its not 100%, as I based it on the difficulty for each team to win those games, not a flat comparison line, so two teams facing the same schedule would have a different rating.

I think Mercs have tough games against Monarchs and Berlin, with Rocks being tricky as well.
Could be 3-0 or 0-3 in those games.
I went with 2-1 making your end record 11-5 (inc the cupcake games.)

Berlin should win 3 of their games easily and have a decent shot at winning 4.

(FTA's rating might be a little low and Vikings might be a little high but in general its about where I see it.)

Oh and I am sure somewhere in there I will have two teams beating each other or something similar. The final record is what I think that team should be finishing on.
Last edited Oct 12, 2008 13:15:09
 
shmingus
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We need to stop our free fall, and our schedule looks ok aside from the classic Fall WuJacks Whompin'. It's been a transition season to the new tactics for a lot of the teams, i'm sure.
 
evilmonkey
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Originally posted by Mike Rogers


4-12 Carthage



=)
 
Mike Rogers
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Great results last few games, guessing something changed

You have a chance against FTA as they still have a very obvious weakness that is causing all their losses this season, and AWC are so unpredictable that any team can win or lose to them.

On a side note, I must say I havent been overly impressed with Paris, despite their record.
Their wins have been a bit of a surprise to me, as when Monarchs played them early this season "They were exactly who we thought they were" and they really havent changed much around since then.

Dont be surprised to see them struggle to finsish the season in a Home field spot.
 
ppjoey
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Just give us (Paris) a chance for a rematch against you in the playoff
 
Mike Rogers
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Originally posted by ppjoey
Just give us (Paris) a chance for a rematch against you in the playoff


We would be happy to see you at Monarchs Stadium, as we have every intention of finishing above you this season


 
ppjoey
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But you're right about the fact that our remaining schedule is indeed one of the toughest: swords, nighthawks, lumberjacks and the heat.
 
Mike Rogers
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Nighthawks game is the only one I expect you to win, and even they are a very good side on thier day.

Swords might be the make or break game for you though, if you can go 2-2 your in good shape for the play offs.


 
ppjoey
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Thanks, we'll try our best. No one want to carry a losing streak into the playoff (if we do make it). Good luck to your team too.
 
PJYoung
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AWC looks to be at least 2 games better than the original projection. Jimmy Freakin' Johnston.
 
Mike Rogers
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One of those is Valhalla Vikings Related, I admit I never expected them to be so poor this season, and that throws an extra win to almost everyone who had to play them.

I figured they were struggling, but it was more tactical then potential, I just thought they would sort it out sooner rather than later.

You have a good shot to win all the remaining games... or lose them
 
PJYoung
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No doubt!
 
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